TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 9:43 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Tom Homan might mention during a Fox News appearance, focusing on topics likely relevant to current events or public discourse. Outcomes depend on whether he uses exact specified terms during his official speaking segments.
The event resolves based on whether Tom Homan, speaking in an official capacity during the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade broadcast, utters any of the specified phrases. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of phrases; if Homan says the exact phrase (including plural or possessive forms) during the live broadcast, the respective market resolves to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video footage, with transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. The event will resolve to No for all markets if Homan does not speak in an official capacity, if the event is canceled, or if resolution cannot occur under normal circumstances. Postponements announced within a specified timeframe keep markets open. Promotional content counts, but advertisements and content from separate recordings do not.
Currently, this market reflects trader sentiment through its odds, which can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may weigh Tom Homan’s past statements, political climate, and likely discussion topics when publishing their expectations. In contrast, this market incorporates real-time betting activity, allowing rapid adjustments based on new information or shifting opinions. Comparing the two offers a view of both expert predictions and crowd-sourced probability estimates.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Specifically, the exact wording spoken by Tom Homan during the Fox News: One Nation with Brian Kilmeade broadcast will be compared against the market’s listed options. The first public and authoritative recording or transcript will determine the final result.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before it settles. Direct statements or interviews from Tom Homan hinting at likely talking points can influence trader sentiment. Additionally, political developments, media coverage surrounding immigration or related policy debates, and any pre-show promotions or teasers from Fox News may affect expectations. Sudden changes in public opinion or notable events on the day of the broadcast can also cause rapid price movements.