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What will the witnesses say during the Senate hearing on AI in education?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during the Senate hearing on AI in education?

Volume:
$86,360

Hallucinate / Hallucination

 - Kalshi

Hallucinate / Hallucination - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 16, 4:00 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hallucinate / Hallucination

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,654
N/A
N/A
$7,190
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Literacy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,672
N/A
N/A
$5,993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Guardrail

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,791
N/A
N/A
$5,191
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Critical Thinking

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,671
N/A
N/A
$5,247
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mental Health

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,898
N/A
N/A
$2,344
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,606
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Teacher / Educator

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,260
N/A
N/A
$2,051
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Privacy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,196
N/A
N/A
$1,039
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ChatGPT / OpenAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,545
N/A
N/A
$21,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Plagiarize / Plagiarism

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,448
N/A
N/A
$6,788
Settled
No
kalshi

Claude / Anthropic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,835
N/A
N/A
$5,693
Settled
No
kalshi

Google / Gemini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,499
N/A
N/A
$4,410
Settled
No
kalshi

Code / Coder / Coding

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,136
N/A
N/A
$4,023
Settled
No
kalshi

Hack / Hacked / Hacking

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,691
N/A
N/A
$3,495
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,771
N/A
N/A
$2,617
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,687
N/A
N/A
$1,653
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

During a Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor & Pensions hearing on AI in K-12 education, witnesses testifying in official capacity will discuss various topics related to artificial intelligence and its impact on schools. Resolution will be based on the live broadcast or official transcript, with specific focus on whether witnesses mention particular terms and concepts during their testimony.

Kalshi

This event consists of multiple independent markets tracking whether any participating witness speaking in an official capacity mentions specific terms during the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor & Pensions hearing on The Future of K-12 Education in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. Each market resolves to Yes if the exact phrase or word (including plural or possessive forms) is used at least once during the hearing. The tracked terms include: Trump (3+ times), AI/Artificial Intelligence, ChatGPT/OpenAI, Google/Gemini, Claude/Anthropic, Mental Health, Teacher/Educator, Hallucinate/Hallucination, Critical Thinking, Privacy, Hack/Hacked/Hacking, Plagiarize/Plagiarism, Code/Coder/Coding, Literacy, and Guardrail. Resolution is based primarily on the live broadcast or stream; official transcripts serve as secondary resolution sources if consensus cannot be reached from video. The event must be open to the press and televised or streamed live to qualify. Statements made in unofficial capacity (such as inaudible private conversations or hot mic comments) do not count. If the hearing is cancelled or fails to meet qualification criteria, all markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the following calendar day to a date within 14 days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

The Senate AI education hearing market dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity around what witnesses will say during the Senate hearing on artificial intelligence in education. The interface displays current pricing, historical price movements, and $86,360 in total trading volume across all outcomes. You can monitor how trader sentiment shifts as new information emerges about the hearing's agenda, confirmed speakers, and policy focus areas. The 24-hour volume metric helps you gauge current market liquidity and engagement levels.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst surveys because markets reward accuracy with financial incentives. While policy analysts and education experts may publish written forecasts about likely hearing outcomes, this market aggregates dispersed trader knowledge into live probability estimates. Comparing the two reveals where professional consensus and market participants align or disagree on witness testimony themes. Markets typically respond faster to breaking news about confirmed speakers or hearing scope changes than published analyst reports do.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes tied to witness statements at the Senate hearing. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has its own price between 0 and 100 cents, reflecting the collective probability traders assign to that statement being made. Prices adjust continuously as new orders flow in, allowing you to enter or exit positions at the prevailing bid-ask spread. Higher prices indicate stronger trader confidence in a particular witness claim or testimony theme.

This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, once the Senate hearing concludes and witness testimony becomes part of the public record. The outcome is determined by verifying what witnesses actually said during the hearing against credible public reporting, including official transcripts, video recordings, and reputable news coverage. Resolution hinges on whether specific statements or themes attributed to witnesses match the confirmed hearing record. Traders should monitor official Senate channels and major news outlets as the hearing date approaches for final confirmation.

Key catalysts include official announcements of confirmed witnesses and their prepared statements or background materials released before the hearing. Media coverage speculating on witness positions, recent policy statements from education officials, or new AI regulation proposals can shift trader expectations about testimony direction. Changes to the hearing's scope, postponements, or high-profile developments in AI education policy may prompt repricing. As the hearing date nears, leaked agendas or witness confirmations typically drive sharp volume spikes and odds adjustments.