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What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing?

Volume:
$125,685

Manufacture / Manufacturing

 - Kalshi

Manufacture / Manufacturing - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 1:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manufacture / Manufacturing

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,310
N/A
N/A
$6,334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rural

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,074
N/A
N/A
$6,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Satellite

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,974
N/A
N/A
$4,467
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,713
N/A
N/A
$3,415
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Investment / Invested

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,126
N/A
N/A
$3,388
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,124
N/A
N/A
$2,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Data Center

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,434
N/A
N/A
$1,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

National Security

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,083
N/A
N/A
$1,405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,568
N/A
N/A
$25,414
Settled
No
kalshi

Privacy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,958
N/A
N/A
$16,361
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,686
N/A
N/A
$13,536
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,360
N/A
N/A
$7,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Automate / Automated / Automation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,256
N/A
N/A
$3,692
Settled
No
kalshi

Taiwan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,805
N/A
N/A
$3,244
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceX

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,140
N/A
N/A
$1,944
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,073
N/A
N/A
$2,020
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

During a Senate committee hearing on artificial intelligence, witnesses will discuss various topics related to AI development and its implications. Markets track whether specific key terms are mentioned by any witness during their official testimony.

Kalshi

The event involves multiple markets resolved based on whether participating witnesses mention specific phrases during the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, & Transportation hearing titled "Powering Artificial Intelligence and Transforming Communications." Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or category of phrases (e.g., "Nuclear," "Satellite," "SpaceX"). Resolution depends on the live broadcast or stream of the hearing, with video serving as the primary source and official transcripts used if video consensus cannot be reached. Only statements made in an official capacity during the live event qualify; private conversations, archival footage, or unrelated recordings do not count. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise unable to proceed normally, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Senate AI hearing witness statements market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $125,479. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various statements from witnesses during the Senate AI hearing, offering a dynamic view of market expectations and shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced assessment of expected witness statements. While analysts may provide detailed, research-backed predictions, traders on Kalshi adjust prices based on recent news, political developments, and perceived momentum, which can lead to faster — though sometimes more volatile — updates than conventional expert opinion.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on the official transcripts or widely accepted media accounts of the Senate AI hearing, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.

Key signals that could move this market include pre-hearing statements from confirmed witnesses, leaks or drafts of prepared testimony, major news coverage shaping public or political expectations, and any last-minute changes to the witness lineup or hearing agenda. Each of these can cause rapid shifts in trader sentiment and price movement on Kalshi as the August 14 resolution date approaches.