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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing?

Volume:
$87,860

Social Security

 - Kalshi

Social Security - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 29, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 5:30 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
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Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Social Security

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,958
N/A
N/A
$4,837
Settled
Yes
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Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,404
N/A
N/A
$6,279
Settled
Yes
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Impersonate / Impersonating / Impersonation

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,789
N/A
N/A
$5,406
Settled
Yes
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Social Media

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,505
N/A
N/A
$4,305
Settled
Yes
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China / Chinese

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,068
N/A
N/A
$3,826
Settled
Yes
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Identity Theft

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,043
N/A
N/A
$9,145
Settled
No
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Hack / Hacker / Hacked

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,150
N/A
N/A
$8,141
Settled
No
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Phishing

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,985
N/A
N/A
$5,751
Settled
No
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Catfish / Catfishing

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,579
N/A
N/A
$5,252
Settled
No
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Trump (3+ times)

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,669
N/A
N/A
$4,494
Settled
No
kalshi

ATM

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,663
N/A
N/A
$4,276
Settled
No
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Lottery / Sweepstake

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,340
N/A
N/A
$4,263
Settled
No
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Event does not qualify

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,396
N/A
N/A
$2,039
Settled
No
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Russia / Russian

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,867
N/A
N/A
$1,639
Settled
No
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Shell Company

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,694
N/A
N/A
$1,689
Settled
No
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Nigeria / Nigerian

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$749
N/A
N/A
$748
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The Senate Special Committee on Aging will hold a hearing focused on how AI technologies like deepfakes and chatbots are being used to defraud elderly individuals. Witnesses will discuss various tactics and methods employed in these scams during their testimony.

Kalshi

The hearing will be resolved based on official statements made by participating witnesses during the live broadcast. Markets resolve to Yes if any witness uses the exact specified phrase (or its plural/possessive form) in an official capacity. Video recordings and official transcripts serve as primary evidence, with consensus required among Kalshi employees if video alone is inconclusive. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or fails to meet press accessibility requirements, all markets except "Event does not qualify" resolve to No. Postponements announced within one day with rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Senate AI hearing witness statements market tracks the current odds and price history of possible outcomes, along with 24-hour volume of $86,258. It provides a live view of how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from witnesses during the Senate AI hearing.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market shows a different perspective because it reflects real-time trader sentiment rather than expert opinions. While analysts may issue detailed reports, the odds here capture collective betting behavior. For example, if analysts predict a cautious tone from witnesses, but traders assign a higher chance to bold statements, this market will reflect that divergence.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact determination depends on analyzing official transcripts, verified news coverage, and authoritative summaries of the hearing. Traders will watch these sources closely to see which statements match the market’s possible outcomes.

Key signals that could shift this market include pre-hearing briefings, leaks about witness preparation, and early reactions from senators or media outlets. Major developments such as a surprise witness addition or a high-profile statement released ahead of time can also cause rapid price changes. Traders will monitor official announcements and reputable news sources for any hints.