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What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing?

Volume:
$133,005

Terrorist / Terrorism

 - Kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 1:45 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Terrorist / Terrorism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$24,823
N/A
N/A
$23,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$21,898
N/A
N/A
$20,857
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marco / Rubio

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,398
N/A
N/A
$11,976
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,773
N/A
N/A
$6,339
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,093
N/A
N/A
$4,317
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Humanitarian Aid

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,547
N/A
N/A
$1,786
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NATO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,438
N/A
N/A
$1,811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,915
N/A
N/A
$2,702
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukranian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,444
N/A
N/A
$1,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,400
N/A
N/A
$1,691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gaza / Palestine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,348
N/A
N/A
$2,162
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,330
N/A
N/A
$1,959
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,265
N/A
N/A
$1,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Venezuela

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,170
N/A
N/A
$1,387
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,592
N/A
N/A
$8,953
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,388
N/A
N/A
$4,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,243
N/A
N/A
$2,328
Settled
No
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
$1,496
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

A House Committee on Foreign Affairs hearing on United Nations accountability and reform will feature witnesses testifying about U.S. foreign policy priorities, strategic diplomacy, and burden-sharing with international partners. Resolution depends on whether witnesses speaking in official capacity mention specific terms during the live televised or streamed event.

Kalshi

This event consists of multiple markets tracking whether any participating witness speaking in an official capacity mentions specific terms during the House Committee on Foreign Affairs hearing on UN Accountability and Reform. For the event to qualify, it must be a live televised or streamed hearing open to the press, and witnesses must speak in official capacity—mere presence or inaudible private conversations do not qualify. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution uses video as the primary source, with official transcripts as backup if consensus cannot be reached. Each market resolves Yes if the specified term appears at least once (or five times for Trump) in witness testimony. If the hearing is cancelled or fails to meet qualification criteria, all markets resolve No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves Yes. If postponed with announcement by the next calendar day to a date within 14 days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the UN Accountability witness statements market, along with 24-hour volume of $132,985. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different statements from witnesses during the House hearing, offering a dynamic view of market expectations as the event approaches.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, trader-driven perspective on expected witness statements. While analysts may incorporate long-term diplomatic trends and historical context, prediction market prices capture rapid shifts in sentiment. This can lead to divergence, especially when new developments emerge ahead of the hearing.

This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact content of witness statements during the House UN Accountability hearing will be compared against market outcomes, closing the market once official transcripts or universally accepted records are published.

Key signals include pre-hearing statements from committee members, leaked testimony excerpts, or shifts in geopolitical tensions involving the UN. Major news coverage, diplomatic announcements, or unexpected witness selections could also shift trader sentiment. As the hearing date approaches, any development framing expectations for witness remarks may cause rapid price adjustments in this market.