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What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing?

Volume:
$151,549

Manufacturing / Manufacture

 - Kalshi

Manufacturing / Manufacture - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 11:20 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Manufacturing / Manufacture

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,711
N/A
N/A
$8,424
Settled
Yes
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China / Chinese

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,135
N/A
N/A
$6,411
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Healthcare

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,949
N/A
N/A
$2,996
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Robot / Robotic / Robotics

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,602
N/A
N/A
$2,516
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655
N/A
N/A
$1,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Data Center

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$51,995
N/A
N/A
$43,288
Settled
No
kalshi

Cybersecurity

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,762
N/A
N/A
$30,522
Settled
No
kalshi

Automation / Autonomous

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,589
N/A
N/A
$6,882
Settled
No
kalshi

Code / Coding

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,413
N/A
N/A
$5,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthropic / Claude

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,294
N/A
N/A
$5,689
Settled
No
kalshi

Small Business

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,109
N/A
N/A
$5,717
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,059
N/A
N/A
$4,825
Settled
No
kalshi

OpenAI / ChatGPT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,407
N/A
N/A
$3,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,072
N/A
N/A
$3,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Open Source

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,708
N/A
N/A
$1,648
Settled
No
kalshi

Deflation / Deflationary

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,484
N/A
N/A
$1,460
Settled
No
kalshi

Nuclear

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$605
N/A
N/A
$526
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

During a House Committee on Education & Workforce hearing on AI Creating Opportunities Across America's Workforce, witnesses testifying in official capacities will make statements that are captured in the live broadcast or stream. Resolution will be determined by analyzing video footage and official transcripts to identify specific phrases or terms mentioned by any participating witness.

Kalshi

This event consists of multiple phrase-detection markets monitoring statements made by witnesses during the House Committee on Education & Workforce hearing on AI Creating Opportunities Across America's Workforce. Each market tracks whether any participating witness speaking in an official capacity mentions specific terms or phrases, including: Trump (3+ times), China/Chinese, Open Source, Data Center, Healthcare, Robot/Robotic/Robotics, Manufacturing/Manufacture, Automation/Autonomous, Deflation/Deflationary, Cybersecurity, Small Business, Code/Coding, Nuclear, Afford/Affordable/Affordability, OpenAI/ChatGPT, and Anthropic/Claude. Resolution relies primarily on the live broadcast or stream video; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts serve as the secondary source. Only exact phrases or their plural/possessive forms qualify—grammatical and tense variations do not count unless explicitly noted. The event must be open to press and televised or streamed live to qualify. Previously recorded content, archival footage, or statements from separate events do not count. If the hearing is cancelled or fails to meet qualification criteria, all markets resolve to No and the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes. If postponed with announcement by the following calendar day to a date within 14 days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the House AI Workforce hearing tracks real-time trader sentiment about what witnesses may say during this congressional hearing. The market aggregates trading activity and price movements tied to specific testimony outcomes, with current volume of $151,549 and 24-hour volume of $133,426. Traders use this prediction market to express their expectations about witness statements, policy positions, and key talking points likely to emerge during the hearing. The dashboard displays odds, historical price trends, and order flow to help participants monitor how market expectations shift as new information becomes available.

Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money commitments from traders rather than expert opinion alone. While analysts may rely on historical patterns and policy expertise, traders incorporate breaking news, leaked testimony, and shifting political dynamics into their bets. This market aggregates distributed knowledge across many participants, sometimes surfacing witness testimony expectations that mainstream analysts have overlooked. Comparing the two reveals where consensus exists and where traders are pricing in tail risks or surprise statements that experts underestimate.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, once the House AI Workforce hearing concludes and witness statements are documented. The outcome is confirmed through verified public reporting of the hearing, including official transcripts, video recordings, and credible news coverage. Traders' positions settle based on whether the predicted testimony matches what witnesses actually said during the event. Resolution typically occurs within days of the hearing, allowing traders to see final results and claim winnings or losses.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the hearing takes place. Leaked witness statements, pre-hearing interviews, or public statements from participants may cause sharp price moves as traders update their expectations. Changes in the hearing agenda, witness list, or congressional focus areas could also trigger volatility. Media coverage and political developments surrounding AI policy may influence trader sentiment about what witnesses will emphasize. Finally, any last-minute cancellations or postponements would force rapid repricing across all outcomes in this market.