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Science and Technology
What will the witnesses say during hearing on America’s Space Weather Capabilities?
kalshi

What will the witnesses say during hearing on America’s Space Weather Capabilities?

Volume:
$46,959

Event does not qualify

 - Kalshi

Event does not qualify - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 3, 1:12 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,209
N/A
N/A
$3,410
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,168
N/A
N/A
$5,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Budget / Funding

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,829
N/A
N/A
$3,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Astronaut

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,308
N/A
N/A
$2,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Pole / Polar

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,042
N/A
N/A
$1,785
Settled
No
kalshi

GPS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,890
N/A
N/A
$1,653
Settled
No
kalshi

Space Force

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,749
N/A
N/A
$2,229
Settled
No
kalshi

ISS / International Space Station

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,697
N/A
N/A
$1,673
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,579
N/A
N/A
$1,884
Settled
No
kalshi

Data Center

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,513
N/A
N/A
$1,980
Settled
No
kalshi

National Security

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,263
N/A
N/A
$1,145
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceX

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,748
N/A
N/A
$1,452
Settled
No
kalshi

Hurricane

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,610
N/A
N/A
$1,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Snow / Snowfall

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
$841
Settled
No
kalshi

Blue Origin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,075
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

During a House Science, Space, and Technology Committee hearing on space weather capabilities, witnesses will testify about America's preparedness for solar storms and related space weather events. Resolution depends on whether specific terms or phrases are mentioned by any witness speaking in an official capacity during the live-streamed hearing.

Kalshi

This event consists of multiple keyword-based markets tracking witness statements during the House Science, Space, and Technology Committee hearing on space weather capabilities. Each market resolves Yes if any participating witness speaking in an official capacity mentions the specified term or phrase (or its plural or possessive form) during the live broadcast or stream. The exact phrase or word must be used; grammatical and tense inflections do not count as variations. Resolution is based primarily on video of the hearing; official transcripts serve as a secondary source if video consensus cannot be reached. The event must be open to the press and televised or streamed live to qualify. Previously aired content, archival footage, or recordings from separate events do not count. If the hearing is cancelled or fails to qualify, or if no witness speaks in an official capacity, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves Yes and all other markets resolve No. If postponed with announcement by the end of the following calendar day to a date within 14 days, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the space weather hearing testimony market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for predictions about witness statements during a congressional hearing on America's space weather readiness. The interface displays current market sentiment, 24-hour trading volume, and outcome probabilities as traders position themselves ahead of the hearing. This market captures collective forecasting on what key witnesses—likely from government agencies, defense, or space infrastructure sectors—will emphasize in their testimony, making it a live barometer of market expectations around space weather preparedness and policy priorities.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they aggregate real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than static reports. Traders in this market are betting directly on specific witness statements, which creates dynamic, updated probabilities as new information emerges. Analysts may publish broad assessments of space weather risk or congressional focus areas, but this market reflects granular, moment-by-moment consensus on what will actually be said during the hearing. The difference reveals how live market pricing can sharpen or challenge conventional expert opinion.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different witness testimony outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is quoted as a percentage probability, with prices ranging from near-zero to near-100, reflecting the likelihood that specific statements will be made during the hearing. Traders profit by correctly predicting which testimony themes or claims will dominate, and the bid-ask spread tightens as the hearing approaches and uncertainty resolves.

This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the hearing concludes and witness testimony is documented. The outcome is confirmed by verified reports from credible public sources covering the hearing proceedings. Traders will know the result based on what witnesses actually state during their testimony, making this a binary or categorical event tied directly to observable congressional record and media coverage of the hearing.

Several catalysts could shift odds before the hearing concludes. Advance announcements of which witnesses will testify, their prepared statements, or their agency affiliations could reshape expectations. Breaking news about space weather incidents, satellite outages, or geomagnetic storms may prompt traders to reassess what witnesses will prioritize. Congressional committee agendas, recent policy debates, or budget discussions around space weather infrastructure could also influence predictions. Finally, any pre-hearing media coverage or expert commentary on likely testimony themes will drive trading activity and price movement.