TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$119,125

Trump (5+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (5+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 29, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,381
N/A
N/A
$11,239
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Maintain / Unchanged

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,553
N/A
N/A
$8,457
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Midterm

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,152
N/A
N/A
$6,481
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iraq

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,668
N/A
N/A
$6,874
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,059
N/A
N/A
$6,653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,667
N/A
N/A
$7,032
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fifth

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,930
N/A
N/A
$5,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,152
N/A
N/A
$5,106
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,054
N/A
N/A
$7,829
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,225
N/A
N/A
$7,160
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,788
N/A
N/A
$6,444
Settled
No
kalshi

Hike / Hiked

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,151
N/A
N/A
$6,692
Settled
No
kalshi

American Airlines

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,995
N/A
N/A
$5,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Supreme Court

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,437
N/A
N/A
$3,908
Settled
No
kalshi

Legionnaires

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,843
N/A
N/A
$3,205
Settled
No
kalshi

Circular

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,071
N/A
N/A
$930
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir covers a range of current events and stories each night. The content discussed can vary widely depending on news developments, including politics, international affairs, economic issues, and other significant events.

Kalshi

The event involves multiple markets, each resolving based on whether specific phrases are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. For each market, if any host or reporter uses the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, the market resolves to Yes. Resolution primarily uses video of the broadcast; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional content. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent resolution and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market shows real-time odds and price trends on Kalshi. It tracks how traders value chances for different types of commentary during the nightly broadcast. You can also see 24-hour volume of $116,694 and historic price movements, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment for this specific event.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through active buying and selling of contracts that represent different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, showing how the market collectively values each outcome at any moment. Volume of $119,125 indicates overall interest and liquidity in the market.

This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the broadcast is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution will depend on exact wording and context used by reporters during the live ABC World News Tonight segment, compared against predefined criteria that the platform uses to determine the final result.

News headlines, official statements, and emerging stories that are likely to be covered on ABC World News Tonight can shift this market. Any indication that a reporter might discuss specific topics, along with pre-broadcast teasers or social media hints from the network, could cause rapid changes in odds as traders react to new information about probable coverage.