TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir covers a range of current events and stories each night. The content discussed can vary widely depending on news developments, including politics, international affairs, economic issues, and other significant events.
The event involves multiple markets, each resolving based on whether specific phrases are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. For each market, if any host or reporter uses the exact phrase, or its plural/possessive form, the market resolves to Yes. Resolution primarily uses video of the broadcast; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional content. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent resolution and validation procedures.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through active buying and selling of contracts that represent different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, showing how the market collectively values each outcome at any moment. Volume of $119,125 indicates overall interest and liquidity in the market.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the broadcast is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution will depend on exact wording and context used by reporters during the live ABC World News Tonight segment, compared against predefined criteria that the platform uses to determine the final result.
News headlines, official statements, and emerging stories that are likely to be covered on ABC World News Tonight can shift this market. Any indication that a reporter might discuss specific topics, along with pre-broadcast teasers or social media hints from the network, could cause rapid changes in odds as traders react to new information about probable coverage.