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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$88,089

Trump (5+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (5+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 28, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,382
N/A
N/A
$5,478
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,935
N/A
N/A
$4,868
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Earthquake

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,888
N/A
N/A
$3,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$22,937
N/A
N/A
$17,769
Settled
No
kalshi

Fauci

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,872
N/A
N/A
$5,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,512
N/A
N/A
$5,373
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,270
N/A
N/A
$4,469
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,470
N/A
N/A
$3,546
Settled
No
kalshi

Herbert / Madison Beer

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,921
N/A
N/A
$3,462
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,303
N/A
N/A
$2,886
Settled
No
kalshi

Biden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,199
N/A
N/A
$2,583
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,092
N/A
N/A
$2,970
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,621
N/A
N/A
$2,404
Settled
No
kalshi

Blanche

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,394
N/A
N/A
$2,154
Settled
No
kalshi

Anthropic / Claude

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,877
N/A
N/A
$1,458
Settled
No
kalshi

Covid / Pandemic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,830
N/A
N/A
$1,743
Settled
No
kalshi

Kamala

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,587
N/A
N/A
$1,530
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The broadcast tracks whether specific topics or names are mentioned by hosts or reporters during a news program. Each topic has defined criteria for resolution based on verbal mentions within the show's content.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether specified terms or phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. Resolution primarily uses video footage, with transcripts serving as a backup if employees cannot reach consensus. Only content within the original broadcast counts—ads excluded but promotional segments included. Postponements announced within one day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. Each market defines its exact payout criterion, requiring precise phrase matches, including plural or possessive forms where applicable, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and titles may include plural forms for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $84,773. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for reporter commentary during the broadcast. The interface updates continuously, letting users monitor market momentum and trading activity as the event approaches.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of media sentiment. Analysts may incorporate longer-term trends and broader context, while traders in this market focus on short-term phrasing and tone expected during the nightly newscast. Discrepancies can arise when analyst predictions diverge from the rapid, real-time adjustments made by market participants reacting to breaking news.

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will watch the broadcast closely that night to see if the specific phrasing or emphasis matches the market’s defined criteria.

This market could shift based on pre-broadcast news releases, political statements, or emerging stories that reporters might highlight. Any indication of which topics will lead tonight’s coverage, or controversies that gain sudden attention, may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, rival news programs’ teasers and social media trends could affect expectations, as participants adjust odds in real time to reflect the most probable focus of the evening’s newscast.