TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$270,399

JD / Vance

 - Kalshi

JD / Vance - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

JD / Vance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,815
N/A
N/A
$13,022
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,486
N/A
N/A
$10,424
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,878
N/A
N/A
$5,779
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,368
N/A
N/A
$34,581
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,811
N/A
N/A
$21,948
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,056
N/A
N/A
$19,687
Settled
No
kalshi

LeBron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,805
N/A
N/A
$13,186
Settled
No
kalshi

Zelenskyy / Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,413
N/A
N/A
$15,703
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,930
N/A
N/A
$14,874
Settled
No
kalshi

Hurricane

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,078
N/A
N/A
$11,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Cracker Barrel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,681
N/A
N/A
$10,941
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,659
N/A
N/A
$8,739
Settled
No
kalshi

Nuclear

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,626
N/A
N/A
$8,491
Settled
No
kalshi

White House Correspondents Dinner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,482
N/A
N/A
$7,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Odyssey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,310
N/A
N/A
$6,584
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The broadcast will be monitored for specific keyword mentions by hosts or reporters, with resolution based on whether these terms appear a required number of times during the show.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework: the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast is the sole source for determining outcomes. Resolution relies primarily on video review; if inconclusive, official transcripts supplement the analysis. Each market specifies a particular phrase or term and a required occurrence threshold (typically three times) for a 'Yes' resolution. Promotional segments count toward the threshold, but advertisements do not. The entire original broadcast content is considered, excluding any post-broadcast additions. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the next day's end, markets remain active; otherwise, they are void. All outcomes depend strictly on verbatim usage, including plural or possessive forms, with no allowance for grammatical variations.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by what is reported during the specified broadcast, and the market will close based on that verified information.