TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$125,439

Yemen / Houthi

 - Kalshi

Yemen / Houthi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 11:02 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yemen / Houthi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,947
N/A
N/A
$12,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,158
N/A
N/A
$4,238
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,335
N/A
N/A
$5,977
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LeBron

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,335
N/A
N/A
$5,345
Settled
Yes
kalshi

White House

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,249
N/A
N/A
$3,009
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,918
N/A
N/A
$4,172
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,711
N/A
N/A
$3,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Wildfire

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,342
N/A
N/A
$3,375
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,564
N/A
N/A
$7,938
Settled
No
kalshi

Flood / Flooding

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,159
N/A
N/A
$9,258
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,690
N/A
N/A
$8,394
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,788
N/A
N/A
$6,720
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,246
N/A
N/A
$6,268
Settled
No
kalshi

Fourth Term

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,500
N/A
N/A
$3,770
Settled
No
kalshi

SpaceX / Starship / Starlink

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,817
N/A
N/A
$2,423
Settled
No
kalshi

Plane / Seaplane

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,439
N/A
N/A
$1,356
Settled
No
kalshi

Measles

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,240
N/A
N/A
$1,427
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during a live news broadcast. Each keyword represents a topic of potential interest, and the outcome depends on whether any reporter or host utters the exact word or phrase during the show.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on keyword mentions during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast. Each market has a primary rule stating that if any host or reporter says the specified keyword (including plural or possessive forms) during the broadcast, the market resolves to Yes. Video footage is the primary source for verification, with transcripts used as a secondary reference if needed. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent resolution and verification procedures.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $125,439. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated reporter commentary during the broadcast. The total volume for this market sits at $125,439, reflecting overall trader interest and activity up to this moment.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds often reflect a more immediate, trader-driven perspective on likely reporter commentary. Analysts may weigh long-term trends or broader context, while traders on Kalshi focus on short-term expectations for the nightly broadcast. Differences can arise from real-time sentiment shifts or breaking news that aren’t yet incorporated into traditional forecasts, making this market an additional data point for tracking market sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will be based on the actual broadcast content and reported commentary that night, checked against the market’s defined outcome categories.

News headlines, political developments, or major statements from public figures leading up to the broadcast can shift expectations and move this market. Trader reactions to pre-show polls, social media trends, or early indications of topic focus may also cause price swings. Any last-minute changes in reporting schedule or announced guest speakers could further influence odds as Aug 9, 2026 approaches.