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406,422

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2,688

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5

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$136,906

Measles

 - Kalshi

Measles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 25, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Measles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,723
N/A
N/A
$5,735
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,501
N/A
N/A
$7,772
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,395
N/A
N/A
$7,255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bon Jovi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,031
N/A
N/A
$6,240
Settled
Yes
kalshi

LeBron

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,619
N/A
N/A
$5,733
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yemen / Houthi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,134
N/A
N/A
$5,014
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,258
N/A
N/A
$4,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,251
N/A
N/A
$8,156
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,980
N/A
N/A
$7,860
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,760
N/A
N/A
$7,213
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,710
N/A
N/A
$8,766
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,148
N/A
N/A
$8,636
Settled
No
kalshi

Bronco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,468
N/A
N/A
$6,471
Settled
No
kalshi

Jimothy / Raccoon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,965
N/A
N/A
$6,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Salmonella

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,617
N/A
N/A
$4,399
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,347
N/A
N/A
$4,527
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The broadcast will cover various news stories, and specific mentions of certain topics or names by hosts or reporters will determine the outcomes of several conditions.

Kalshi

All markets are resolved based on whether specific phrases or names are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Each market defines a particular term or phrase that, if spoken by any host or reporter, results in a 'Yes' outcome for that market. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the broadcast; if video review cannot achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts are used as a secondary source. Only content included in the original broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional content within the broadcast is included. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. The exact word, its plural, or possessive form must be used for a market to resolve to 'Yes'; grammatical variations do not count unless they match the specified criteria.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $136,906. This visualization shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for the nightly news coverage, updated continuously throughout the trading period. The total volume for this market sits at $136,906, reflecting overall interest and liquidity on the platform.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or real-time view of expectations for the ABC World News Tonight segment. While analysts may issue periodic reports, traders in this market continuously adjust positions based on breaking news, polling data, and media trends. The resulting odds can diverge noticeably from poll averages or expert predictions, especially as new information emerges in the days leading up to Aug 8, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative news coverage of that evening’s ABC World News Tonight report, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major news releases, surprise guest announcements, or developing stories that are likely to feature prominently in the ABC World News Tonight report. Additionally, shifting public sentiment tracked through polls or social media trends may influence trader sentiment, as could competing news coverage from other major networks that affect what topics are highlighted.