TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$135,707

AI / Artificial Intelligence

 - Kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 23, 7:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,927
N/A
N/A
$7,236
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Saudi

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,879
N/A
N/A
$8,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,251
N/A
N/A
$7,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Orca

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,247
N/A
N/A
$6,964
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Secret Service

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,564
N/A
N/A
$8,266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,091
N/A
N/A
$6,583
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bertha

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,544
N/A
N/A
$5,353
Settled
Yes
kalshi

JD / Vance

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,543
N/A
N/A
$5,290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
$2,063
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,994
N/A
N/A
$21,429
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,084
N/A
N/A
$12,301
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,364
N/A
N/A
$8,782
Settled
No
kalshi

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,664
N/A
N/A
$5,195
Settled
No
kalshi

Foreclosure

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,688
N/A
N/A
$3,927
Settled
No
kalshi

LeBron

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,528
N/A
N/A
$3,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Tesla

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,094
N/A
N/A
$2,946
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The broadcast will monitor whether specific keywords are mentioned by any host or reporter during the nightly news program. Each keyword triggers a distinct outcome based on its occurrence during the show.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether any host or reporter utters specified exact phrases during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage, with transcripts used as a secondary source if needed. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. Plural or possessive forms of the keywords count toward resolution.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporters market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $122,085. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for this event. The chart updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and volume of $135,707, giving you a clear view of market sentiment as the event approaches.

Odds from this market often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, reflecting real-time trader sentiment rather than expert predictions. While analysts may weigh long-term trends and historical data, traders in this market react instantly to breaking news, polls, and media narratives. As a result, you might see sharper shifts in probability here compared to more static forecasts, especially when new information emerges that impacts public perception of the night’s coverage.

This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Reporters’ remarks during the broadcast will be reviewed against the market’s defined criteria, and the result will be finalized shortly after the show concludes. Timing depends on how quickly the evening’s content is analyzed and confirmed, but you can expect resolution within hours of the broadcast.

Market movement will likely hinge on pre-broadcast speculation, analyst previews, and last-minute changes to reporting lineups. Any announcement about which correspondents will lead segments, exclusive interviews scheduled, or breaking news tied to the night’s themes can shift trader sentiment quickly. Social media buzz and news outlet teasers may also influence odds as the show approaches, especially if they hint at major story angles or surprises.