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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$134,907

Supreme Court

 - Kalshi

Supreme Court - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 31, 7:11 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,754
N/A
N/A
$10,502
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grand Canyon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,063
N/A
N/A
$5,827
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pentagon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,411
N/A
N/A
$4,637
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,914
N/A
N/A
$4,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,827
N/A
N/A
$4,473
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nepal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,830
N/A
N/A
$3,754
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Messi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,099
N/A
N/A
$11,941
Settled
No
kalshi

Healthcare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,437
N/A
N/A
$8,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Beef

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,568
N/A
N/A
$7,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,197
N/A
N/A
$7,230
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,819
N/A
N/A
$8,170
Settled
No
kalshi

Karina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,700
N/A
N/A
$4,967
Settled
No
kalshi

US Open

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,686
N/A
N/A
$5,093
Settled
No
kalshi

JD / Vance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,414
N/A
N/A
$6,220
Settled
No
kalshi

Moon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,899
N/A
N/A
$5,536
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,290
N/A
N/A
$2,859
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The event tracks whether specific phrases or names are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the entire original broadcast content for verification. Each market checks for the occurrence of particular terms spoken by any host or reporter.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on whether designated terms or phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if video review fails to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used as secondary verification. The analysis considers the exact phrase, its plural or possessive forms, and any proper nouns containing plural nouns. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream is evaluated—additional post-broadcast material is excluded. Promotional segments within the broadcast count toward resolution, whereas advertisements do not. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days as announced within the following day, all markets remain active. Each market’s outcome hinges solely on the presence or absence of its specific target term within the broadcast’s full content.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $134,482. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of specific statements or themes being highlighted by reporters during the broadcast. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users a clear view of where interest lies in this market.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of media trends. Analysts may weigh long-term implications or broader context, while traders react to short-term signals and perceived probabilities of specific wording or emphasis. The gap between these views can widen when events or statements appear unexpected, making this market a live barometer of real-time expectations distinct from expert predictions.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the broadcast is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution team reviews the full episode to determine whether the specific statements or themes defined in the market rules were expressed by reporters, ensuring an objective and transparent process.

Key signals that could shift this market include pre-broadcast hints from ABC producers, major news developments on the day of the show, or social media reactions to early segments. Any indication that a reporter is likely to address a controversial or breaking story may cause rapid price adjustments. Additionally, unexpected guest appearances or last-minute script changes could also influence trader sentiment leading up to Sep 15, 2026.