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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$134,832

Warsh

 - Kalshi

Warsh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 7:10 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Warsh

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,321
N/A
N/A
$8,699
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,958
N/A
N/A
$8,705
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Moon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,342
N/A
N/A
$6,871
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,347
N/A
N/A
$6,151
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,745
N/A
N/A
$5,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nepal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,438
N/A
N/A
$5,135
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NATO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,315
N/A
N/A
$3,235
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Pentagon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,515
N/A
N/A
$2,965
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Norway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,241
N/A
N/A
$9,561
Settled
No
kalshi

Meta / Facebook / Instagram

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,641
N/A
N/A
$13,937
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,086
N/A
N/A
$10,850
Settled
No
kalshi

FDA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,833
N/A
N/A
$9,661
Settled
No
kalshi

Bernie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,512
N/A
N/A
$3,408
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,417
N/A
N/A
$3,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Tornado

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,951
N/A
N/A
$3,815
Settled
No
kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,170
N/A
N/A
$3,146
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks whether specific phrases related to Meta, Facebook, or Instagram are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome is 1.0%, with the second outcome also at 1.0%. The resolution is based on the actual aired content of the broadcast. Watch for the broadcast on 2026-09-12 to see if the specific phrases are mentioned.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on whether designated phrases or names are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Each market has a primary rule stating that if any host or reporter says the specified phrase or name (with some requiring a minimum number of mentions), the market resolves to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if video review does not achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts are used. The live broadcast or stream is the sole source for resolution—additional content outside the original broadcast, such as advertisements, is excluded, though promotional content within the broadcast counts. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent secondary and payout criteria, ensuring uniform application across the event.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market shows real-time odds and price trends exclusively on Kalshi. It displays the current probability that reporters will mention the topic during the broadcast, along with historical price movements and $134,832 24-hour volume. This single-venue view lets you monitor how trader sentiment evolves without any cross-platform aggregation. The data reflects collective expectations about the nightly news script, updated continuously as new information emerges.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous bidding and asking, reflecting their collective judgment about the likelihood of reporter commentary. The current probability represents the expected chance that the topic will be addressed, adjusted for market liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $134,832 shows overall interest, while price fluctuations often respond to breaking news, analyst opinions, or shifts in public focus leading up to the broadcast.

This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution depends on exact wording and emphasis used by reporters during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast, compared against predefined criteria.

Several signals could shift this market before Sep 12, 2026. Major news releases, official statements, or unexpected developments related to the topic may increase mention probability, driving prices upward. Conversely, competing headlines or a subdued media environment might lower trader expectations. Analyst commentary, social media trends, and polling data could also influence perceptions. As the broadcast approaches, any indication of editorial focus from ABC News or reporter assignments will likely cause rapid price adjustments.