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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$145,379

Tornado

 - Kalshi

Tornado - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tornado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,179
N/A
N/A
$11,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,332
N/A
N/A
$5,653
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Epstein

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,173
N/A
N/A
$6,215
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bertha

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,297
N/A
N/A
$3,499
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,071
N/A
N/A
$4,334
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,586
N/A
N/A
$3,829
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,208
N/A
N/A
$3,351
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,353
N/A
N/A
$13,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,051
N/A
N/A
$11,442
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,161
N/A
N/A
$11,803
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,707
N/A
N/A
$7,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Benjamin / Netanyahu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,572
N/A
N/A
$7,934
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,823
N/A
N/A
$6,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,545
N/A
N/A
$7,777
Settled
No
kalshi

Pentagon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,064
N/A
N/A
$5,527
Settled
No
kalshi

LeBron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,858
N/A
N/A
$3,595
Settled
No
kalshi

Legionnaires

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,399
N/A
N/A
$2,171
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the entire original broadcast content for verification. Each keyword or phrase has its own criteria for resolution, focusing on exact usage within the show.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether designated hosts or reporters mention specific keywords or phrases during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. The exact word, phrase, or their plural/possessive forms must appear, with grammatical variations excluded. Only content from the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these uniform resolution and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and trading volume for this event. It shows the current top outcome probability and displays a chart of price history over time. The dashboard also highlights the latest 24-hour volume of $126,960, letting users see how market interest changes as the event date approaches.

On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market through continuous bidding and asking. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing reflects collective expectations about likely talking points and tone, influenced by recent news cycles and public sentiment. Volume of $145,379 supports these market dynamics, while 24-hour volume of $126,960 shows recent trader interest. As the show approaches, early indicators like pre-broadcast announcements or guest listings may cause rapid shifts in probability estimates.

This market resolves around Aug 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative news summaries, ensuring an objective and transparent closure of positions for all traders.

Several real-world signals could sway this market before it resolves on Aug 6, 2026. Major news breaks, especially those likely to feature prominently in nightly broadcasts, often drive rapid adjustments in market odds. Guest announcements for the show, shifting political or economic headlines, and unexpected developments in ongoing stories may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, patterns in recent episodes — particularly any emerging themes or repeated topics — can serve as predictive guides. As the broadcast date nears, minute-by-minute news updates will likely produce the most significant volatility.