TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$87,278

Ukraine / Ukrainian

 - Kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 8:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,720
N/A
N/A
$5,226
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Canada

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,698
N/A
N/A
$5,883
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lake America / Ontario

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,470
N/A
N/A
$4,906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,464
N/A
N/A
$4,945
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Measles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,152
N/A
N/A
$4,631
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Barron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,769
N/A
N/A
$6,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Pretti

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,097
N/A
N/A
$6,565
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,990
N/A
N/A
$6,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,610
N/A
N/A
$5,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,547
N/A
N/A
$4,829
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,063
N/A
N/A
$3,862
Settled
No
kalshi

Tupac

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,124
N/A
N/A
$3,032
Settled
No
kalshi

Bessent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,061
N/A
N/A
$2,905
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,543
N/A
N/A
$2,432
Settled
No
kalshi

Peptides / GLP-1

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,845
N/A
N/A
$1,817
Settled
No
kalshi

Spain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,125
N/A
N/A
$1,103
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. Each keyword or phrase has its own criteria for market resolution, and all mentions are evaluated against the live broadcast content.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific keyword or phrase that must be mentioned by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir for the market to resolve to Yes. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. The exact phrase, including plural or possessive forms, must be used, with grammatical inflections excluded. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional material. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. All markets share these consistent resolution and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $87,270. This visualization shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around potential reporter lineups for the nightly broadcast. The chart updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity, giving users a clear view of where interest is concentrated ahead of Sep 10, 2026.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will hinge on who actually delivers the nightly broadcast on that date, as captured by authoritative news transcripts and on-air records. Until then, traders can adjust positions based on evolving expectations and last-minute changes in anchor schedules.

Key signals include official network announcements, anchor availability updates, and breaking news that reshapes coverage priorities. If a high-profile reporter is assigned to a special report or faces a scheduling conflict, this market could react swiftly. Additionally, competitive storytelling angles or ratings battles may influence who leads the broadcast, creating volatility in the days leading up to Sep 10, 2026.