TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether specific topics or names are mentioned during a televised news broadcast. Each market corresponds to a different subject, and the outcome depends on whether any host or reporter utters the specified term during the show.
All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on verbal mentions during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. A market resolves to 'Yes' if any host or reporter uses the exact specified phrase, word, or its plural/possessive form within the live broadcast or stream. Resolution primarily relies on video footage; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Only content within the original broadcast counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. Grammatical variations and inflections do not affect eligibility, and proper nouns or noun phrases containing plural forms are counted.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expected reporting outcomes. Analysts may incorporate longer-term trends and qualitative insights, while traders react quickly to breaking news and shifting public sentiment. The gap between the two can highlight areas of consensus or divergence in expectations for the ABC World News coverage.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcripts or authoritative news coverage of the ABC World News Tonight segment.
Key signals include major news breaks, official statements, or unexpected developments tied to the topics ABC World News typically covers. High-impact reports, social media trends, or statements from influential figures can quickly shift trader sentiment. As Sep 8, 2026 approaches, any last-minute headlines or broadcast teasers may cause rapid price swings, reflecting updated expectations for the evening's reporting focus.