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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$104,447

Alaska

 - Kalshi

Alaska - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alaska

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,204
N/A
N/A
$10,050
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Salmonella / E. Coli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,119
N/A
N/A
$6,176
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,557
N/A
N/A
$5,509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,509
N/A
N/A
$4,836
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tariff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,323
N/A
N/A
$3,857
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,974
N/A
N/A
$4,107
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,610
N/A
N/A
$2,350
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,297
N/A
N/A
$18,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,123
N/A
N/A
$6,245
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,211
N/A
N/A
$4,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Vance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,355
N/A
N/A
$4,028
Settled
No
kalshi

Swalwell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,995
N/A
N/A
$3,478
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,565
N/A
N/A
$3,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,510
N/A
N/A
$3,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,651
N/A
N/A
$2,442
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,445
N/A
N/A
$2,325
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The event tracks whether specific topics or names are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the actual aired content as the source of truth. Each topic has its own criteria for resolution based on verbal mentions by hosts or reporters.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether specified terms or phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast, with transcripts used as a secondary source if video review yields no consensus among Kalshi employees. The exact word, phrase, or their plural/possessive forms must appear; grammatical variations do not count. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the following day's end, markets remain open. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ABC World News reporting market tracks real-time odds and price trends for how reporters frame key stories on the nightly broadcast. It shows current probability estimates alongside 24-hour volume of $104,447 to reflect trader sentiment. This visualization helps users monitor how market participants price expectations about tone, emphasis, and coverage angles, giving insight into collective anticipation for the show’s editorial direction.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than expert predictions. Where analysts may highlight political or economic angles, the probability curve here is shaped by crowd-driven speculation. Differences between this market and traditional polls often emerge when event uncertainty is high, making real-time price shifts a valuable contrarian signal.

This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination hinges on whether specific reporting language or themes appear in the broadcast, as evaluated against publicly available transcripts and news coverage.

Media narratives, breaking news, and official statements leading up to Sep 5, 2026 can shift this market sharply. High-impact developments that shape news agendas — political announcements, natural disasters, or viral social topics — may cause traders to reassess likely coverage angles. Shifts in public discourse or ABC’s own editorial cues could also drive rapid price changes as participants reprice probabilities.