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406,422

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$137,843

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

 - Kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 20, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,745
N/A
N/A
$9,509
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,838
N/A
N/A
$6,180
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Swalwell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,741
N/A
N/A
$3,860
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,199
N/A
N/A
$14,164
Settled
No
kalshi

North Korea / Kim Jong Un

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,986
N/A
N/A
$8,839
Settled
No
kalshi

Walmart

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,664
N/A
N/A
$5,884
Settled
No
kalshi

FAA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,689
N/A
N/A
$5,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Melania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,499
N/A
N/A
$6,471
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,445
N/A
N/A
$5,893
Settled
No
kalshi

IndyCar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,245
N/A
N/A
$6,374
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,019
N/A
N/A
$4,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,265
N/A
N/A
$5,451
Settled
No
kalshi

Moderna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,321
N/A
N/A
$4,726
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,569
N/A
N/A
$4,270
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,924
N/A
N/A
$3,397
Settled
No
kalshi

El Nino / El Niño

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,745
N/A
N/A
$2,847
Settled
No
kalshi

Canada / Canadian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,669
N/A
N/A
$3,070
Settled
No
kalshi

Meta / Facebook / Instagram

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,438
N/A
N/A
$3,260
Settled
No
kalshi

Talarico

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,844
N/A
N/A
$2,603
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Description

The broadcast tracks whether specific topics or names are mentioned by any host or reporter during a news program. Each topic has defined criteria for resolution based on verbal mentions during the live broadcast, with promotional content counted but advertisements excluded.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether specified terms—such as names, organizations, or phrases—are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. The primary resolution method uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts, excluding post-broadcast additions. Promotional segments are included in evaluation, while advertisements are explicitly excluded. Each market specifies exact phrasing requirements, allowing for plural or possessive forms but not grammatical variations. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days per announcement rules, markets remain active. The entire broadcast content, excluding advertisements, forms the basis for all determinations.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $137,843. This visualization helps you see how trader sentiment shifts over time, reflecting collective expectations about what the reporters will say. The chart updates continuously, giving you immediate insight into market momentum and key turning points leading up to the event's resolution.

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market offers a dynamic, crowd-sourced probability that can react faster to breaking news and shifting public sentiment. While analysts may issue periodic reports based on models or expert judgment, traders in this market continuously adjust their positions based on real-time information, debates, and emerging trends. This can lead to notable differences when rapid developments occur.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post their desired prices. The top outcome's current implied chance reflects the balance of all active bids and asks. Market depth, recent trades, and overall volume of $137,843 all influence price discovery, allowing participants to react instantly to new information or sentiment shifts.

This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will reflect what reporters actually say during the broadcast, closing the market once the broadcast ends and facts are established.

Key news releases, official statements, and high-profile interviews surrounding the topic could strongly influence this market. Any development that changes public perception or media framing may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for significant social media trends, polling data, and expert commentary leading up to Sep 4, 2026, as these can shift expectations about what the reporters are likely to emphasize.