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404,175

Markets across

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2,685

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5

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$118,701

Moderna

 - Kalshi

Moderna - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Moderna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,756
N/A
N/A
$10,908
Settled
Yes
kalshi

North Korea / Kim Jong Un

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,338
N/A
N/A
$8,966
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,225
N/A
N/A
$9,820
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,847
N/A
N/A
$6,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Canada / Canadian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,177
N/A
N/A
$6,654
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,893
N/A
N/A
$7,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Crypto / Bitcoin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,413
N/A
N/A
$7,031
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,015
N/A
N/A
$5,154
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,677
N/A
N/A
$6,438
Settled
No
kalshi

Meta / Facebook / Instagram

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,603
N/A
N/A
$4,632
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,038
N/A
N/A
$4,177
Settled
No
kalshi

UAE / United Arab Emirates

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,384
N/A
N/A
$3,936
Settled
No
kalshi

China / Chinese

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,341
N/A
N/A
$4,036
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,984
N/A
N/A
$3,524
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,011
N/A
N/A
$1,742
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The broadcast will be analyzed to determine whether specific key terms are mentioned by any host or reporter during the show. Each mention triggers a resolution condition for corresponding markets.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on verbal mentions during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. For any market to resolve as 'Yes', a host or reporter must use the exact specified phrase, or its plural/possessive form, at least the required number of times. The primary source for verification is the broadcast's video; if unclear, official transcripts serve as the secondary source. Only content within the original broadcast counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. The entire broadcast content is considered for all resolutions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the short_topic, along with a chart of price history and current 24-hour volume of $115,147. This view shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated reporter commentary during the broadcast.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market reflects a crowd-sourced probability weighted by trader sentiment and betting volume. While analysts may offer detailed narrative predictions, this market condenses market expectations into a single implied probability, which can diverge if new information or shifting public interest moves trader sentiment in either direction before Sep 3, 2026.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative summaries, ensuring an objective match to the market’s defined categories.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 3, 2026. Major news breaks, political developments, or unexpected global events may dominate reporter discussions, altering probabilities. Trader reactions to emerging polls or public statements often drive short-term price swings. As Sep 3, 2026 approaches, real-time headlines and broadcast previews will most strongly influence outcomes, with volume potentially peaking around $115,147 in the final days.