TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$116,718

ICE

 - Kalshi

ICE - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,523
N/A
N/A
$6,454
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,344
N/A
N/A
$5,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Penn State

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,895
N/A
N/A
$4,934
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hawaii

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,906
N/A
N/A
$9,699
Settled
No
kalshi

Meta / Facebook / Instagram

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,581
N/A
N/A
$8,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Chucky

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,139
N/A
N/A
$6,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,713
N/A
N/A
$7,671
Settled
No
kalshi

Disney

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,039
N/A
N/A
$6,066
Settled
No
kalshi

Lake Mead

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,097
N/A
N/A
$6,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,120
N/A
N/A
$4,751
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,083
N/A
N/A
$4,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Oman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,849
N/A
N/A
$4,614
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,643
N/A
N/A
$4,673
Settled
No
kalshi

Alaska

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,572
N/A
N/A
$4,198
Settled
No
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,214
N/A
N/A
$3,909
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

During a nightly news broadcast, reporters may discuss various topics of national or international importance. The specific content covered can vary widely depending on current events, making each broadcast unique in its focus and discussion points.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on whether specified phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. Only content within the original broadcast counts—ads excluded, but promotional segments included. Postponements announced within a day, rescheduled within 14 days, keep markets open. All phrases must appear in exact form, including plural or possessive variations, with grammatical inflections disregarded. Proper nouns and noun phrases are considered in their plural forms when applicable.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, trader-driven perspective. While analysts may incorporate polls, historical trends, and qualitative factors, prediction market odds capture the collective betting sentiment of participants on Kalshi. This can lead to divergence when rapid events shift public perception faster than traditional forecasts update.

This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by evaluating the broadcast content against the market’s defined criteria, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.