TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$164,430

North Korea

 - Kalshi

North Korea - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 17, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

North Korea

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,660
N/A
N/A
$17,520
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tupac

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,112
N/A
N/A
$9,709
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Netanyahu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,959
N/A
N/A
$7,491
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,285
N/A
N/A
$7,796
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,195
N/A
N/A
$6,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,010
N/A
N/A
$5,338
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,810
N/A
N/A
$5,550
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,581
N/A
N/A
$20,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Earthquake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,558
N/A
N/A
$13,507
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,194
N/A
N/A
$12,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,661
N/A
N/A
$8,996
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,870
N/A
N/A
$7,471
Settled
No
kalshi

Ferrari

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,536
N/A
N/A
$7,650
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The outcome depends on whether specific keywords are mentioned during a news broadcast. Each keyword triggers a different resolution, and the broadcast's content determines the result.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether certain specified terms are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase. If any host or reporter uses the exact term—or its plural or possessive form—during the live broadcast, that specific market resolves to 'Yes'. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if video review fails to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used as secondary verification. Only content included in the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. If an event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days as announced by the following day’s end, markets remain open. Grammatical variations and tense inflections do not affect eligibility, but proper nouns and noun phrases must match exactly.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by reviewing authoritative news transcripts and broadcasts from that date to ensure an accurate settlement.