TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$151,640

Hormuz

 - Kalshi

Hormuz - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hormuz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,936
N/A
N/A
$8,876
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Apache

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,065
N/A
N/A
$9,700
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,599
N/A
N/A
$5,585
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom / Pool

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,175
N/A
N/A
$6,200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hurricane

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,423
N/A
N/A
$4,408
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luigi / Mangione

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,945
N/A
N/A
$3,546
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Supreme Court

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,201
N/A
N/A
$3,536
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USS Abraham Lincoln

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,766
N/A
N/A
$26,700
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,699
N/A
N/A
$15,909
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,115
N/A
N/A
$11,695
Settled
No
kalshi

Powerball

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,916
N/A
N/A
$6,660
Settled
No
kalshi

Karoline / Leavitt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,433
N/A
N/A
$5,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,866
N/A
N/A
$5,216
Settled
No
kalshi

Harvard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,503
N/A
N/A
$3,281
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The broadcast will be analyzed to determine whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned by any host or reporter. Each market corresponds to a different term, and the outcome depends on whether that term is used at least the required number of times during the show.

Kalshi

All markets are resolved based on whether specified terms or phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. The exact phrase, its plural, or possessive form counts, but grammatical tense variations do not. Only content within the original broadcast counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional content aired during the show is included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporters market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $151,640. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes for this event, updated continuously throughout the trading period. The interface allows you to view trends and shifts in market sentiment as the event date approaches, giving you insight into collective expectations.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may issue detailed predictions based on historical data and qualitative factors, while traders price in new information as it emerges. The market can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected developments arise, offering a dynamic alternative view of expected outcomes.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing broadcast transcripts or authoritative news coverage of the ABC World News Tonight episode.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key news coverage, official statements, and public reactions on the night of the broadcast may influence trader sentiment. Any surprise guests or breaking stories featured by the reporters might cause rapid price changes. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, traders will closely monitor pre-broadcast hints and real-time developments that could affect the expected outcome.