TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The broadcast will be analyzed to determine whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned by any host or reporter. Each market corresponds to a different term, and the outcome depends on whether that term is used at least the required number of times during the show.
All markets are resolved based on whether specified terms or phrases are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are consulted. The exact phrase, its plural, or possessive form counts, but grammatical tense variations do not. Only content within the original broadcast counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional content aired during the show is included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's resolution.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert opinions and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may issue detailed predictions based on historical data and qualitative factors, while traders price in new information as it emerges. The market can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected developments arise, offering a dynamic alternative view of expected outcomes.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing broadcast transcripts or authoritative news coverage of the ABC World News Tonight episode.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Key news coverage, official statements, and public reactions on the night of the broadcast may influence trader sentiment. Any surprise guests or breaking stories featured by the reporters might cause rapid price changes. As Aug 29, 2026 approaches, traders will closely monitor pre-broadcast hints and real-time developments that could affect the expected outcome.