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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$121,886

Powerball

 - Kalshi

Powerball - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 7:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Powerball

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,808
N/A
N/A
$7,232
Settled
Yes
kalshi

USS Abraham Lincoln

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,709
N/A
N/A
$2,734
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,918
N/A
N/A
$18,574
Settled
No
kalshi

Karoline / Leavitt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,865
N/A
N/A
$11,891
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,105
N/A
N/A
$8,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,656
N/A
N/A
$6,475
Settled
No
kalshi

Harvard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,296
N/A
N/A
$6,883
Settled
No
kalshi

Apache

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,547
N/A
N/A
$5,721
Settled
No
kalshi

Air Force One

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,283
N/A
N/A
$4,572
Settled
No
kalshi

WNBA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,986
N/A
N/A
$3,359
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,251
N/A
N/A
$3,017
Settled
No
kalshi

North Korea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
$2,226
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,135
N/A
N/A
$1,899
Settled
No
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,082
N/A
N/A
$1,810
Settled
No
kalshi

AOC / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
$1,614
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The broadcast will be analyzed to determine whether specific key terms are mentioned by any host or reporter during the show. Each term has its own threshold for how many times it must be said for the market to resolve positively.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on verbal mentions during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. For each market, resolution hinges on whether any host or reporter utters the specified term—or its plural/possessive form—the required number of times during the live broadcast. The primary evidence for resolution comes from video footage of the show; if video review yields no consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts serve as secondary verification sources. Only content included in the original broadcast or stream counts toward resolution; advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments aired within the program are included. Postponements announced within one calendar day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All determinations rely strictly on exact phrase matches, with grammatical variations excluded, though proper nouns and noun phrases containing plural forms are counted. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's evaluation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $121,811. This visualization helps you see how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various reporter statements during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast. With a total volume of $121,886, the chart reflects market sentiment and recent trading activity, offering insight into where speculation is headed for this specific event.

On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market, but it isn’t directly tied to analyst forecasts. Analysts often weigh broader political and economic trends, while traders focus on short-term signals and perceived media framing. The market’s price may diverge from traditional polling or expert predictions, especially if traders anticipate sensationalized coverage or strategic emphasis by reporters. Comparing this market to analyst outlooks can reveal market sentiment gaps, but remember that trader dynamics — like volume of $121,886 and recent $121,811 — often prioritize immediacy over long-term stability.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. After the ABC World News Tonight broadcast airs, reporters will analyze the exact language used by anchors and correspondents. The market settles based on whether specific statements or themes were presented, as confirmed by publicly available transcripts and media coverage.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution. Major news developments — such as political announcements, surprise interviews, or emerging international crises — may lead ABC to adjust its coverage focus, influencing trader expectations. Additionally, pre-broadcast hints from ABC producers or anchor social media activity can create momentum. Any indication of exclusive reporting or last-minute changes in topic emphasis may cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as traders reassess probabilities.