TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$198,176

Acropolis

 - Kalshi

Acropolis - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Acropolis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,889
N/A
N/A
$7,134
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,200
N/A
N/A
$8,944
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,859
N/A
N/A
$6,581
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tornado

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,791
N/A
N/A
$5,803
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bertha

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,569
N/A
N/A
$4,664
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,991
N/A
N/A
$3,888
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$84,258
N/A
N/A
$79,970
Settled
No
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,753
N/A
N/A
$11,316
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,101
N/A
N/A
$8,671
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,795
N/A
N/A
$7,906
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,785
N/A
N/A
$7,528
Settled
No
kalshi

Legionnaires

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,618
N/A
N/A
$5,713
Settled
No
kalshi

Data Center

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,801
N/A
N/A
$5,116
Settled
No
kalshi

Paramount

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,765
N/A
N/A
$3,285
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market monitors specific words and phrases mentioned by hosts and reporters during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast with David Muir. Resolution depends on whether targeted terms are spoken during the live broadcast or official stream, with different thresholds for different terms.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on mentions of specific terms by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Different terms have different thresholds: Iran requires 3+ mentions, Trump requires 5+ mentions, while AI/Artificial Intelligence, Data Center, Tornado, Tariff, Paramount, Israel/Israeli, Ceasefire, Oil/Gas/Gasoline, ICE, Bertha, Acropolis, and Legionnaires each require at least one mention. Resolution uses the live broadcast or stream as the primary source; video consensus by Kalshi employees determines resolution, with official transcripts as backup. Promotional content counts but advertisements do not. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the following day, markets remain open. The entirety of the original broadcast content is used for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the broadcast is verifiable from credible public sources. After the show airs, reporters’ exact words will be checked against the market’s defined outcomes, and the contract matching the verified commentary will settle. Timing depends on when the final transcript or video is publicly available for confirmation.

News about planned segments, guest announcements, or breaking stories ahead of the broadcast can shift this market. If a major developing story is scheduled for coverage, traders may bid up the probability of related phrasing. Conversely, if the show’s agenda changes or a competing news outlet breaks the story first, odds could fall. Overall volume of $198,176 provides a baseline for how responsive the short_topic is to real-world cues.