TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$98,159

Powerball

 - Kalshi

Powerball - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Powerball

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,714
N/A
N/A
$7,601
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lakers

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,536
N/A
N/A
$7,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Midterm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,697
N/A
N/A
$5,098
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,748
N/A
N/A
$5,807
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Turkey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,407
N/A
N/A
$4,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eclipse

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,942
N/A
N/A
$3,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,191
N/A
N/A
$6,397
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,085
N/A
N/A
$7,822
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclospora / Cyclosporiasis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,564
N/A
N/A
$5,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,929
N/A
N/A
$4,959
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,893
N/A
N/A
$4,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Inflation

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,766
N/A
N/A
$4,227
Settled
No
kalshi

Blanche

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,689
N/A
N/A
$3,733
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the actual aired content as the basis for determination. Each keyword has its own criteria for resolution, and all are evaluated against the same broadcast segment.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether specified terms are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as tiebreakers. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements excluded, but promotional segments included. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. The exact word, its plural, or possessive form triggers resolution, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and noun phrases containing plural nouns are counted. All markets share these uniform resolution and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the short_topic dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume using $98,159 and $98,159. This visualization helps users monitor how traders value different possible outcomes for the reporters' commentary on ABC World News Tonight. The chart displays the top outcome probabilities and recent trading activity, giving participants insight into market sentiment and liquidity trends as the event approaches.

This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative news coverage of ABC World News Tonight, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.

Key signals include major news stories, political developments, or unexpected guest announcements on ABC World News Tonight that could influence reporter focus. Statements from network executives, shifts in polling data, or high-impact events in the days preceding the broadcast may also cause rapid price movements on Kalshi, especially as traders reassess likely coverage angles in the final weeks.