TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$91,213

Trump (5+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (5+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 7:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,309
N/A
N/A
$6,043
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Luigi / Mangione

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,465
N/A
N/A
$3,652
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Air Force One

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,191
N/A
N/A
$3,670
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Russia / Russian

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,380
N/A
N/A
$2,794
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,315
N/A
N/A
$2,704
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vaccine / Vaccination

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,976
N/A
N/A
$9,425
Settled
No
kalshi

Eclipse

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,864
N/A
N/A
$9,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Election

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,957
N/A
N/A
$9,423
Settled
No
kalshi

Toyota

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,680
N/A
N/A
$8,770
Settled
No
kalshi

North Korea / North Korean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,650
N/A
N/A
$4,142
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,091
N/A
N/A
$3,337
Settled
No
kalshi

Cuba / Cuban

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,786
N/A
N/A
$3,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,781
N/A
N/A
$3,283
Settled
No
kalshi

Kardashian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,769
N/A
N/A
$2,403
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

The outcome depends on whether specific keywords are mentioned during a news broadcast. Each keyword represents a different topic that might be covered, and the broadcast's content will determine which, if any, keywords are spoken.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether certain specified keywords are mentioned during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Each keyword has an associated market that resolves to 'Yes' if the keyword, or its plural/possessive form, is spoken by any host or reporter during the broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the broadcast; if video review fails to achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official transcripts are used as a secondary source. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days, markets remain open. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $91,213. It tracks how traders on Kalshi price the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated reporter commentary during the broadcast. This view reflects the collective wisdom of Kalshi participants, updated continuously as new information emerges, with total volume at $91,213.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced or forward-looking view. Analysts may weigh long-term trends and official statements, while traders react quickly to breaking news, sentiment shifts, and media narratives. As a result, odds on this market can diverge from traditional forecasts, especially when unexpected events occur or public sentiment sways perception of likely coverage angles.

This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will depend on analyzing the actual broadcast content against defined criteria, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 26, 2026. Major news breaks, especially those likely to feature prominently on ABC World News Tonight, will shift expectations. Statements from the network about upcoming segments or special reports may also affect odds. Additionally, broader trends in public interest or major developments in the issues covered by the reporters can change trader sentiment. Keep an eye on pre-broadcast teasers and real-time news feeds for the most immediate impacts on pricing.