TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 10, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
During a nightly news broadcast, reporters may discuss various topics ranging from politics and international affairs to cultural events and technological advancements. The specific words or phrases mentioned can reflect the day's most significant stories and public interests.
The event evaluates whether specific designated terms are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that term is used at least the specified number of times during the broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if video review does not achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used as tiebreakers. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the following day's end, markets remain open. The exact word, phrase, or their plural/possessive forms must be used for a market to resolve 'Yes', with grammatical variations not counting unless explicitly stated.
Currently, this market reflects a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While experts may emphasize certain angles, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes based on recent trends and expectations. The gap between this market’s implied probabilities and analyst predictions can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging shifts in public sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be based on what is reported during the specified broadcast, closing all speculation once the show airs and the content is publicly available.
Between now and Aug 25, 2026, this market could shift based on breaking news stories, official announcements from ABC, or public statements by the network’s anchors and correspondents. High-profile interviews, exclusive reports, or controversies involving the reporting team may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competitive scheduling changes on rival networks or significant social media reactions could affect expectations for coverage, driving volume and price changes on Kalshi as the resolution approaches.