TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$88,610

Jalapeno

 - Kalshi

Jalapeno - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 10, 2026

Closed: Aug 10, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jalapeno

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,337
N/A
N/A
$9,173
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,878
N/A
N/A
$7,307
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tupac

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,528
N/A
N/A
$8,399
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,251
N/A
N/A
$4,643
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,129
N/A
N/A
$5,476
Settled
No
kalshi

Kardashian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,053
N/A
N/A
$4,476
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,884
N/A
N/A
$4,987
Settled
No
kalshi

Gaza

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,529
N/A
N/A
$3,851
Settled
No
kalshi

Blanche

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,117
N/A
N/A
$3,073
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,781
N/A
N/A
$4,262
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,386
N/A
N/A
$3,367
Settled
No
kalshi

Zuckerberg

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,817
N/A
N/A
$2,970
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,884
N/A
N/A
$2,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Drone

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$2,383
Settled
No
kalshi

FIFA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,480
N/A
N/A
$2,270
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

During a nightly news broadcast, reporters may discuss various topics ranging from politics and international affairs to cultural events and technological advancements. The specific words or phrases mentioned can reflect the day's most significant stories and public interests.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether specific designated terms are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that term is used at least the specified number of times during the broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the broadcast; if video review does not achieve consensus among Kalshi employees, official internal and external transcripts are used as tiebreakers. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the following day's end, markets remain open. The exact word, phrase, or their plural/possessive forms must be used for a market to resolve 'Yes', with grammatical variations not counting unless explicitly stated.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporters market shows real-time odds and price trends exclusively on Kalshi. It includes current top-outcome probabilities, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume of $88,610. This single-venue view updates continuously to reflect trader sentiment on Kalshi, allowing participants to monitor how the market for this specific news segment is positioned ahead of its resolution date.

Currently, this market reflects a different perspective than many analyst forecasts. While experts may emphasize certain angles, traders are pricing in a range of possible outcomes based on recent trends and expectations. The gap between this market’s implied probabilities and analyst predictions can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging shifts in public sentiment.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be based on what is reported during the specified broadcast, closing all speculation once the show airs and the content is publicly available.

Between now and Aug 25, 2026, this market could shift based on breaking news stories, official announcements from ABC, or public statements by the network’s anchors and correspondents. High-profile interviews, exclusive reports, or controversies involving the reporting team may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, competitive scheduling changes on rival networks or significant social media reactions could affect expectations for coverage, driving volume and price changes on Kalshi as the resolution approaches.