TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$183,877

ICE

 - Kalshi

ICE - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 7, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,371
N/A
N/A
$13,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UFO / UAP

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,525
N/A
N/A
$12,955
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ballroom

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,347
N/A
N/A
$12,639
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,406
N/A
N/A
$6,612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,356
N/A
N/A
$7,265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,163
N/A
N/A
$7,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Powerball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,221
N/A
N/A
$10,414
Settled
No
kalshi

Birthright

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,966
N/A
N/A
$9,757
Settled
No
kalshi

McConnell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,250
N/A
N/A
$9,532
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,713
N/A
N/A
$7,858
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,833
N/A
N/A
$11,556
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,416
N/A
N/A
$6,872
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,310
N/A
N/A
$6,615
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the actual aired content to determine outcomes. Each keyword has its own criteria for resolution based on verbal mentions by hosts or reporters.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether specified terms are uttered at least a defined number of times by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. The exact word, its plural, or possessive form must be used, with grammatical variations excluded. Proper nouns and noun phrases containing plural nouns are counted. All eligible content from the broadcast is considered for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market's current odds offer a different perspective, often more nuanced or reactive to breaking news. While analysts may provide detailed written assessments, prediction market odds synthesize trader sentiment into a single, continuously updated probability. This can highlight areas of consensus or divergence, especially when market odds shift sharply following key developments or statements from major political figures.

On Kalshi, traders set the odds for the ABC World News Tonight reporters market through continuous bidding, reflecting their collective expectations about the broadcast’s content. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing mechanism uses a logarithmic market scale, where the probability indicated by the top outcome represents the aggregate sentiment of participants. Volume of $183,877 shows the level of interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $176,386 highlights short-term shifts. As the event approaches, any public hints or prior segments may influence these odds, making the market a live barometer of anticipated coverage.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The result will be based on who is reported by ABC World News Tonight, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process that aligns with publicly available information.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 22, 2026. Major news breaks, official statements, or unexpected developments tied to the broadcast’s usual topics may cause rapid adjustments. Analysts’ previews or social media trends pointing toward specific reporters gaining prominence can also sway trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute changes to the anchoring lineup or headline priorities reported by media outlets might reshape expectations. Monitoring Kalshi’s 24-hour volume of $176,386 will reveal when these signals are most impactful, as spikes often follow breaking news or credible rumors.