TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$168,891

Jeanine / Pirro

 - Kalshi

Jeanine / Pirro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 6, 2026

Closed: Aug 5, 7:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jeanine / Pirro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$56,660
N/A
N/A
$27,244
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,519
N/A
N/A
$14,223
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,835
N/A
N/A
$10,305
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,070
N/A
N/A
$4,934
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Abdul / El-Sayed

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,394
N/A
N/A
$4,174
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,239
N/A
N/A
$15,358
Settled
No
kalshi

JD / Vance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,775
N/A
N/A
$9,149
Settled
No
kalshi

Perez / Hilton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,546
N/A
N/A
$5,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Las Vegas

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,933
N/A
N/A
$5,067
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,701
N/A
N/A
$5,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Pope

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,641
N/A
N/A
$4,801
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,108
N/A
N/A
$4,331
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,063
N/A
N/A
$2,403
Settled
No
kalshi

Nancy Guthrie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
$2,319
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebola

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,850
N/A
N/A
$2,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Epstein

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,595
N/A
N/A
$1,596
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

The broadcast examines whether specific topics or names are mentioned by any host or reporter during a nightly news program. Each topic or name has its own criteria for resolution based on verbal mentions during the show.

Kalshi

The event determines if any host or reporter mentions specified terms during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Each market has a primary rule stating that if the exact phrase, word, or its plural/possessive form is used by any host or reporter, the market resolves to Yes. Video of the broadcast is the primary source for resolution; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts are used. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional content. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. All markets share these consistent resolution and validation procedures.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market on Kalshi shows current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $167,837. It tracks how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated reporter commentary. This real-time view reflects market sentiment and can highlight shifts in expectations as the broadcast date approaches. With total volume at $168,891, the dashboard is a useful barometer for gauging collective insight into potential talking points and emphasis areas the anchors may adopt.

Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of media trends and public sentiment. Analysts may weigh long-term implications or broader context, while traders in this market focus on the specific likelihood of phrases, topics, or tones being featured tonight. Discrepancies can arise when rapid developments occur close to the broadcast, as market odds adjust quickly to new information and speculation. Monitoring both sources offers a fuller picture of anticipation surrounding the evening's coverage.

On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective expectations about reporter commentary on the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market, updated continuously as new information emerges. Volume of $168,891 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $167,837 highlights short-term activity shifts. Traders adjust positions based on emerging news, public sentiment, and anticipated focus areas for the broadcast.

This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the broadcast is verifiable from credible public sources. After the show airs, organizers will compare the actual reporter commentary against defined outcome categories. The result is finalized when the broadcast transcript or authoritative news coverage clearly aligns with one set of criteria, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of what was said and how it was framed during that evening's segment.

Several signals could influence this market before it resolves on Aug 20, 2026. Major news developments, especially those likely to feature prominently in nightly broadcasts, often shift expectations rapidly. Statements from political leaders, unexpected global events, or significant domestic stories gaining media traction can all affect trader sentiment. Additionally, patterns in recent coverage and analyst predictions about topic selection may guide market movements as the resolution date approaches.