TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$173,014

Iran (3+ times)

 - Kalshi

Iran (3+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 4, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,404
N/A
N/A
$19,878
Settled
Yes
kalshi

UFC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,565
N/A
N/A
$8,980
Settled
Yes
kalshi

SpaceX

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,431
N/A
N/A
$6,288
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,259
N/A
N/A
$4,720
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Midterm

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,644
N/A
N/A
$4,579
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,306
N/A
N/A
$3,801
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hormuz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,998
N/A
N/A
$3,125
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,777
N/A
N/A
$24,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyclosporiasis / Cyclospora

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,600
N/A
N/A
$5,983
Settled
No
kalshi

Ebola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,186
N/A
N/A
$7,490
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,228
N/A
N/A
$7,762
Settled
No
kalshi

Powerball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,669
N/A
N/A
$7,325
Settled
No
kalshi

Subway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,313
N/A
N/A
$5,082
Settled
No
kalshi

Blanche

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,254
N/A
N/A
$4,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,696
N/A
N/A
$6,069
Settled
No
kalshi

Cyberattack / Cyber Attack

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,401
N/A
N/A
$2,373
Settled
No
kalshi

IRS

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,284
N/A
N/A
$2,939
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the actual aired content as the basis for resolution. Each keyword or phrase has its own criteria for triggering a positive outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether designated hosts or reporters mention specific exact phrases during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts serve as the tiebreaker. Only content within the original live broadcast or stream counts—advertisements are excluded, but promotional segments are included. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. Plural or possessive forms of the target phrases count toward resolution, but grammatical variations do not. The entire broadcast content is considered for each market's verification.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will reflect what is reported during the specified broadcast, closing the market once the broadcast concludes and the facts are established.

Several signals could shift odds in this market before Aug 19, 2026. Major news stories, official statements, or surprise developments tied to the topic may cause rapid reevaluation. Additionally, shifting public sentiment — as reflected in social media trends or polls — can influence trader behavior. As the broadcast date approaches, any last-minute announcements or high-profile commentary are likely to produce noticeable price movements, especially if they alter perceptions of what reporters are most likely to highlight.