TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 3, 8:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific phrases or terms are mentioned during a televised news broadcast. Each rule defines a unique term or phrase that, if spoken by any host or reporter during the show, triggers a resolution. The outcome depends entirely on the spoken content of the live broadcast.
All markets resolve based on whether designated terms or phrases are spoken by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts are used as a secondary source. Only content within the original broadcast counts—ads and unaired material are excluded, but promotional segments during the show are included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the next day’s end, markets remain open. Each market specifies an exact phrase (including plural/possessive forms), and resolution requires that the phrase appears as spoken within the broadcast’s audio.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative news summaries to identify the precise content discussed, aligning with the market’s defined criteria.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major news releases, political developments, or surprise guest announcements on ABC World News Tonight may cause rapid repricing. Additionally, trending social media topics and public polls measuring viewer interest can influence trader sentiment. As the broadcast date nears, real-time developments — such as breaking stories or last-minute schedule changes — are likely to drive volatility, especially if they reshape expectations for the evening's coverage.