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$134.2b

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$228,257

In-N-Out

 - Kalshi

In-N-Out - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 8:05 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

In-N-Out

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,897
N/A
N/A
$10,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spider-Man

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,876
N/A
N/A
$12,038
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Moreno

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,697
N/A
N/A
$9,793
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Max Miller

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,176
N/A
N/A
$8,046
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cyberattack / Cyber Attack

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,821
N/A
N/A
$7,380
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,770
N/A
N/A
$6,683
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,084
N/A
N/A
$7,623
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,369
N/A
N/A
$3,766
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fire / Wildfire

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,309
N/A
N/A
$5,206
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,573
N/A
N/A
$4,873
Settled
Yes
kalshi

IRS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,254
N/A
N/A
$19,625
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,194
N/A
N/A
$22,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,052
N/A
N/A
$17,230
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,112
N/A
N/A
$11,211
Settled
No
kalshi

Boat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,611
N/A
N/A
$7,924
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,576
N/A
N/A
$8,604
Settled
No
kalshi

WestJet

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,949
N/A
N/A
$5,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Kalshi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,938
N/A
N/A
$4,214
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This event tracks whether specific phrases or terms are mentioned during a televised news broadcast. Each rule defines a unique term or phrase that, if spoken by any host or reporter during the show, triggers a resolution. The outcome depends entirely on the spoken content of the live broadcast.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether designated terms or phrases are spoken by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution relies primarily on video footage of the live broadcast; if video review is inconclusive, official transcripts are used as a secondary source. Only content within the original broadcast counts—ads and unaired material are excluded, but promotional segments during the show are included. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the next day’s end, markets remain open. Each market specifies an exact phrase (including plural/possessive forms), and resolution requires that the phrase appears as spoken within the broadcast’s audio.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market dashboard shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $228,257. This visualization helps you monitor how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various outcomes in the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market over time.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by reviewing the broadcast transcript or authoritative news summaries to identify the precise content discussed, aligning with the market’s defined criteria.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 18, 2026. Major news releases, political developments, or surprise guest announcements on ABC World News Tonight may cause rapid repricing. Additionally, trending social media topics and public polls measuring viewer interest can influence trader sentiment. As the broadcast date nears, real-time developments — such as breaking stories or last-minute schedule changes — are likely to drive volatility, especially if they reshape expectations for the evening's coverage.