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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$302,241

Trump (5+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (5+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 7:10 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$35,225
N/A
N/A
$13,678
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tony Romo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30,839
N/A
N/A
$15,969
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,668
N/A
N/A
$14,070
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,643
N/A
N/A
$7,717
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,229
N/A
N/A
$6,525
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$43,669
N/A
N/A
$41,057
Settled
No
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,559
N/A
N/A
$27,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,483
N/A
N/A
$20,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Kalshi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,615
N/A
N/A
$16,453
Settled
No
kalshi

FIFA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,505
N/A
N/A
$16,173
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,869
N/A
N/A
$8,076
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,879
N/A
N/A
$7,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,761
N/A
N/A
$6,921
Settled
No
kalshi

NATO

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,149
N/A
N/A
$6,771
Settled
No
kalshi

Leopold / Aschenbrenner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,943
N/A
N/A
$6,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Diddy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,575
N/A
N/A
$4,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Jersey Mike

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,629
N/A
N/A
$2,332
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The event tracks whether specific phrases are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the entire original broadcast content for verification. Each phrase's occurrence is evaluated against strict criteria involving exact wording and broadcast boundaries.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcasts. A market resolves to 'Yes' if any host or reporter utters the designated phrase — whether singularly, in plural form, or as part of a proper noun phrase — during the live broadcast or stream. Resolution primarily uses video footage; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus, official internal and external transcripts serve as secondary verification sources. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open. The entire broadcast content forms the evaluation basis for all phrase-occurrence determinations.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the ABC World News Tonight reporter commentary market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $139,452. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes based on anticipated reporter commentary. This visualization helps users monitor sentiment and trading activity surrounding this market as events unfold.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd sentiment. Analysts may focus on historical trends and policy implications, while traders react instantly to breaking news and shifting public opinion. The gap between these views can widen when major stories emerge, making this market a live barometer of real-time expectations.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final determination will hinge on exact wording and emphasis used by reporters during the broadcast, as captured by neutral third-party reviews of the recorded coverage.

Market-moving signals include major news releases, political developments, or economic data that shape reporter priorities. Statements from key figures, emerging scandals, or unexpected global events can also shift trader expectations quickly. Any development that alters the likely focus of ABC World News Tonight coverage may cause rapid price adjustments before settlement.