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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$190,299

Trump (5+ times)

 - Kalshi

Trump (5+ times) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 30, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,510
N/A
N/A
$12,056
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lifeguard

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,157
N/A
N/A
$12,412
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cornyn

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,253
N/A
N/A
$8,605
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ukraine

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,361
N/A
N/A
$7,686
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NATO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,080
N/A
N/A
$6,740
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,413
N/A
N/A
$7,136
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,878
N/A
N/A
$5,867
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Blanche

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,103
N/A
N/A
$5,144
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Egypt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,458
N/A
N/A
$11,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Diddy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,199
N/A
N/A
$12,932
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,008
N/A
N/A
$11,527
Settled
No
kalshi

FIFA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,688
N/A
N/A
$9,688
Settled
No
kalshi

ICE

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,584
N/A
N/A
$7,607
Settled
No
kalshi

Midterm

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,209
N/A
N/A
$8,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Ceasefire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,632
N/A
N/A
$7,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Tariff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,413
N/A
N/A
$5,590
Settled
No
kalshi

Leopold / Aschenbrenner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,355
N/A
N/A
$3,723
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

The event tracks whether specific phrases or names are mentioned during a news broadcast, using the entire original broadcast content for verification. Each market checks for the occurrence of particular terms spoken by any host or reporter.

Kalshi

All markets share a unified resolution framework centered on verifying whether designated terms are uttered by any host or reporter during the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir broadcast. Resolution primarily relies on video footage of the live broadcast or stream, with internal and external transcripts serving as secondary verification if video consensus cannot be achieved among Kalshi employees. The exact phrase, including plural or possessive forms, must appear; grammatical variations do not count. Only content within the original broadcast qualifies—additional material, advertisements, and promotional segments are excluded, though promotional content within the broadcast itself counts. If the broadcast is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days by the following day's end, markets remain open. The entirety of the broadcast’s content is evaluated for each market’s specific term.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, this market reflects aggregated trader sentiment rather than individual expert predictions. While analysts may issue detailed written assessments, this market condenses market expectations into a single, dynamically updated probability. The difference often highlights under- or over-valued outcomes by analysts, showing where trading activity diverges from published forecasts.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, with the current top outcome reflecting the highest traded probability. The platform’s order book determines pricing, and volume of $190,299 indicates overall interest. Prices shift based on new information and trader sentiment leading up to Aug 14, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will be determined by reviewing authoritative news broadcasts and transcripts to confirm what was reported, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 14, 2026. Major news coverage, expert commentary, or unexpected statements from ABC News leadership may sway trader sentiment. Any controversy or notable absence in the reporting lineup could also impact odds. Additionally, broader media trends or competing broadcasts might influence expectations, causing rapid shifts in pricing as the deadline approaches.