TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
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All
What will the reporter say during ABC World News Tonight?
kalshi

What will the reporter say during ABC World News Tonight?

Volume:
$175,988

Los Angeles

 - Kalshi

Los Angeles - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Los Angeles

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,996
N/A
N/A
$13,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tornado

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,805
N/A
N/A
$12,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Meta / Facebook / Instagram

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,148
N/A
N/A
$10,668
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,797
N/A
N/A
$10,352
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,138
N/A
N/A
$8,119
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NATO

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,404
N/A
N/A
$5,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nepal

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,546
N/A
N/A
$3,994
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,516
N/A
N/A
$12,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Prince Harry / Meghan Markle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,285
N/A
N/A
$14,482
Settled
No
kalshi

FDA / Tumor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,702
N/A
N/A
$10,400
Settled
No
kalshi

Japan / Japanese

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,344
N/A
N/A
$8,188
Settled
No
kalshi

Hormuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,297
N/A
N/A
$7,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Ukraine / Ukrainian

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,908
N/A
N/A
$4,960
Settled
No
kalshi

Iran (3+ times)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,011
N/A
N/A
$5,181
Settled
No
kalshi

Blockade

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,090
N/A
N/A
$2,624
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

The event tracks whether specific keywords or phrases are mentioned during a televised news broadcast. Each market corresponds to a different topic or name, and resolution depends on the exact usage of these terms within the live broadcast segment.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple markets based on whether designated hosts or reporters mention specific terms during the ABC World News Tonight broadcast hosted by David Muir. Each market has a unique primary rule requiring the exact utterance of a particular phrase, word, or name—either singularly or in qualified forms such as plurals or possessives—during the broadcast. For markets with quantity thresholds (e.g., 'Iran (3+ times)'), the term must be spoken the specified number of times. Resolution primarily uses video footage of the broadcast; if consensus cannot be reached, official transcripts serve as the fallback. Only content within the original broadcast counts, excluding advertisements but including promotional segments. Postponements announced within a day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open. All criteria emphasize exact phrasing and context, with no allowance for grammatical variations beyond the specified forms.