TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 7 - September 13)
polymarket

What will NYT front-page headlines say?

Volume:
$20,748

Space

 - Polymarket

Space - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 12:33 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Space

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$4,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Putin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
41.2¢
N/A
$2,075
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vote / Voter / Votes

100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,768
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trump

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blockade

0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woman

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Japan

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Peace

0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rigged

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,115
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Star

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon / Musk

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between September 7 and September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between September 7 and September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NYT front page market tracks the probabilities of various headline topics appearing on the New York Times front page between September 7 and September 13. You can view the current odds for different categories, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $5,015. The total volume for this market is $20,748. This allows traders to see which headlines are currently considered most likely by the crowd and how actively they are being traded.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polls. While polls capture stated opinions, this market aggregates actual financial bets on what will happen. This can lead to divergences, especially on politically sensitive topics where respondents might be hesitant to express their true beliefs. It’s important to remember that polls measure sentiment, while this market measures belief backed by capital. The difference between the two can be insightful when assessing the potential for surprise outcomes.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the New York Times front page headlines for the week of September 7-13 are publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine which headline topic, as defined by the market’s possible outcomes, appears on the front page. The resolution will be based on the primary headline displayed on the New York Times front page each day during that period, as determined by the platform’s guidelines.

Several events could significantly impact this market. Major geopolitical developments, unexpected economic data releases, or breaking news stories could all shift the odds as traders react to new information. For example, a sudden spike in oil prices or a significant political announcement could increase the probability of related headlines appearing on the front page. The market will be particularly sensitive to events that are likely to dominate the news cycle and capture the attention of the New York Times editorial team.