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$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

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2,633

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5

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Politics
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (June 24 - June 28)
polymarket

What will NYT front-page headlines say by June 28, 2026?

Volume:
$4,246

Trump

 - Polymarket

Trump - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 29, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Trump

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$549
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Inflation

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Border

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tesla

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

IPO

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Train

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Senate

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Rigged

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Budget

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Netherlands

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Deal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Prime Minister

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

United Nations

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Slave

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kevin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Trillion / Trillionaire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceX

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between June 24 and June 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between June 24 and June 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the NYT front-page headlines market dashboard displays real-time odds on what stories will lead the New York Times homepage during the week of June 24–28. Traders buy and sell shares tied to specific headline outcomes, with prices reflecting the collective forecast of market participants. The dashboard shows current odds for each potential headline, trading volume, and price history. Total liquidity across this market stands at $4,246, with $472 in trades over the past 24 hours, indicating active interest in near-term news prediction.

Prediction markets and polls measure different things: polls capture stated voter intent or public opinion at a snapshot in time, while this market reflects traders' real-money forecasts of actual headline coverage. Market odds often diverge from polls because traders incorporate breaking news, editorial priorities, and evolving events that polls may not yet reflect. For headline prediction specifically, markets tend to be more responsive to late-breaking developments than traditional surveys, making them a complementary signal for understanding what stories are likely to dominate major outlets.

This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the week concludes and the New York Times front-page headlines for June 24–28 are finalized. The outcome is confirmed by comparing actual NYT homepage coverage against the specific headline predictions offered in the market. Resolution is verified against credible public reporting and the archived record of the publication's editorial decisions during that period. Traders who correctly predicted which stories would lead are paid out according to their positions.

Major political announcements, legislative developments, or unexpected news breaking during the week of June 24–28 could significantly shift odds in this market. If a high-profile political figure makes a major statement or scandal emerges, traders will reprice their bets on whether that story dominates the Times homepage. Economic data releases, international events, or shifts in campaign momentum could also influence which narratives editors prioritize. Real-time news flow and editorial judgment are the primary drivers; traders monitor breaking stories closely to adjust positions before the market closes.