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$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Politics
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
polymarket

What will the NYT front-page headlines say by August 30, 2026?

Volume:
$13,107

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

 - Polymarket

Oil / Gas / Gasoline - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 3:55 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trump

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fear

100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ukraine / Ukrainian

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Earthquake / Quake

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woman

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,149
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hot / Heat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$990
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gold

0%
96%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between August 24 and August 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between August 24 and August 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the NYT front-page headlines market, alongside a chart of 24-hour volume of $1,463. It shows how traders on this venue are pricing the likelihood of different headline scenarios for the week of August 24–30, with historical data and current top outcome probabilities displayed for quick analysis.

Compared to traditional polling averages, this market often reflects a more nuanced view of public interest and media priorities. While polls measure voter preferences or public opinion on specific issues, this market captures trader expectations about what will dominate the New York Times front page, influenced by breaking news, political scandals, or major policy announcements.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final settlement will depend on the actual front-page headlines published by the New York Times during the specified week, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift this market include major political developments, surprise policy announcements, significant global events, or high-profile scandals involving public figures. Traders will react to news cycles, media speculation, and early indicators from the journalistic community, all of which may alter expectations about which stories will make the front page.