TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23)
polymarket

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (August 17 - August 23)

Volume:
$9,118

Trump

 - Polymarket

Trump - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 3:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Trump

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Race

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
9¢
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fear

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Star

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blockade

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Gold

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1.8¢
N/A
$5,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Woman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Party

0%
97%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Hot / Heat

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Crisis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.9¢
N/A
$227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between August 17 and August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between August 17 and August 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article. Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count. Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count. Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline, will not qualify. Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, usage of that compound word qualifies, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. (E.g. if the listed term is joy, killjoy qualifies but joyful does not. E.g. if the listed term is sun, sunflower qualifies but sunny does not.) If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify. If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies. If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution. This market only pertains to the daily New York edition prints of the New York Times, also available at https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/. Only the first official release of a qualifying front page will be counted. Any subsequent releases that differ from the initial release will not be considered. Other editions will not be considered. You can find an example of what counts here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nyt-headlines.jpeg.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the NYT front-page headlines market tracks real-time odds and price movements for this week’s potential headlines. It shows how traders value different headline scenarios, along with 24-hour volume of $1,548. The interface updates continuously, letting users see where the market thinks attention will focus in the coming days.

Unlike traditional polls that sample public opinion, this market reflects trader expectations about what The New York Times will choose for its front page. The current odds emphasize issues that may not dominate polls but could be newsworthy for other reasons — for example, emerging scandals or economic data releases. This can diverge from polling averages, which focus on voter sentiment rather than editorial decisions.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final result will match whatever The New York Times actually publishes on its front page during the specified week, closing all positions based on that verified information.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. Major political developments, international crises, or economic announcements often dominate newspaper front pages. Unexpected statements from key figures, significant policy changes, or breaking news events may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will watch for polling shifts, legislative actions, and media coverage trends that suggest which stories will capture public attention this week.