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What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?
polymarket

What will the median home value in the Austin, Texas Metro area be on June 30?

Volume:
$6,309

<$481k

 - Polymarket

<$481k - Polymarket

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$481k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$1,417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>$495k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,189
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$484k - $487k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$481k - $484k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$487k - $490k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$493k - $495k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$490k - $493k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/43)

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, at which point the actual median home value for the Austin, Texas metro area as of June 30 is determined. Resolution hinges on official data release from a designated source, which will confirm which outcome bracket the true median value falls into. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of Austin's housing market trajectory. The winning outcome is the bracket that contains the official median home value; all shares in that bracket pay out at full value, while other brackets expire worthless.

Several catalysts could shift market odds before Jun 30, 2026. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions directly impact mortgage affordability and buyer demand in Austin. Tech sector employment announcements—particularly from major employers in the region—influence migration and housing demand. Quarterly housing inventory and sales reports from the Austin Board of Realtors provide real-time market signals. Macroeconomic data on inflation, consumer confidence, and wage growth affect purchasing power. Local policy changes, such as zoning reforms or tax incentives, can reshape supply dynamics. Additionally, national housing market trends, recession fears, and regional economic shocks all influence trader positioning and could move probabilities significantly as new information surfaces.