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What will the median home value in New York City be on June 30?
polymarket

What will the median home value in New York City be on June 30?

Volume:
$8,867

>$620k

 - Polymarket

>$620k - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

>$620k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$599k - $606k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$606k - $613k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$613k - $620k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$592k - $599k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$585k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$585k - $592k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader sentiment and often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While real estate analysts and economists publish median home value projections based on historical trends and macroeconomic models, prediction markets incorporate live information and trader conviction. Market odds can shift rapidly in response to interest rate changes, housing supply reports, or local NYC policy announcements that analysts may not immediately factor in. Comparing the two reveals whether professional forecasters and decentralized traders align on NYC housing valuations.

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026. At that time, the actual median home value for New York City on June 30 will be determined and matched against the predefined outcome brackets. The resolution hinges on official housing data and valuation benchmarks published by recognized real estate indices or municipal sources. Traders who selected the correct outcome range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The specificity of the resolution criteria ensures a clear, unambiguous settlement.

Federal Reserve interest rate decisions will significantly influence NYC median home values, as mortgage rates directly affect buyer purchasing power and property demand. Major employment reports, particularly for the New York metro area, can shift housing demand and prices. Local policy changes—such as rent control amendments, zoning reforms, or tax incentives—may alter the investment appeal of NYC real estate. Supply-side shocks, like large new residential developments or conversions, could pressure valuations. Broader economic recessions or booms, stock market volatility, and migration patterns into or out of the city also serve as key price drivers through resolution.