TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will the median home value in Miami be on May 31?
polymarket

What will the median home value in Miami be on May 31?

Volume:
$5,567

1.136 - 1.161m

 - Polymarket

1.136 - 1.161m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

1.136 - 1.161m

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

>1.286m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,036
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<1.136m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.161 - 1.186m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.186 - 1.211m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.211 - 1.236m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1.236 - 1.261m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Intro

This market tracks the median home value across all property types in Miami, Florida using a calculation based on the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index. The leading outcome—that median home value will fall between $1,136,000 and $1,161,000—currently stands at 94.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official Parcl Labs data published on May 31, 2026, with the settlement price calculated by multiplying the price index by 2100 square feet, Miami's median property size. Watch for the Parcl Labs data release on May 31, 2026, which will serve as the definitive resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the actual median home value for Miami will be compared against the predicted range. The outcome is determined by official data released around that date, which establishes whether the median home price falls within, above, or below the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution date gives traders approximately 18 months to monitor housing market trends, economic reports, and local Miami real estate data before the final outcome is determined.

Several catalysts could shift odds before May 31, 2026. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions directly impact mortgage affordability and housing demand in Miami. Major economic reports—inflation data, employment figures, and GDP growth—influence buyer sentiment and home prices. Local Miami factors include population migration trends, new construction supply, and commercial real estate performance. Geopolitical events, recession signals, or credit market disruptions could dampen demand. Conversely, strong job growth, foreign investment inflows, or major corporate relocations to South Florida could boost valuations. Real estate sales data and median price reports released quarterly will provide concrete signals that traders use to adjust their positions.