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What will the median home value in Miami be on June 30?
polymarket

What will the median home value in Miami be on June 30?

Volume:
$4,900

$1.105M - $1.138M

 - Polymarket

$1.105M - $1.138M - Polymarket

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1.105M - $1.138M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$609
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1.171M - $1.204M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.138M - $1.171M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$597
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$1.237M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$1.072M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.204M - $1.237M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.072M - $1.105M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$202
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/39)

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026, at which point the actual median home value in Miami will be determined and compared against the outcome ranges. Resolution hinges on official median home price data published by real estate authorities and market sources as of that date. Once the true value is established, the corresponding outcome contract pays out to holders of the winning shares, while losing positions expire worthless. This mechanism ensures traders have a clear, verifiable endpoint and incentivizes accurate forecasting throughout the prediction period.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 30, 2026. Federal Reserve interest rate decisions directly impact mortgage affordability and buyer demand in Miami. Economic data—inflation, employment, consumer confidence—influences housing sentiment. Local factors include new inventory levels, migration patterns to South Florida, and commercial-to-residential conversion trends. Geopolitical or financial shocks can trigger flight-to-safety moves or capital reallocation. Real estate transaction volumes and price indices published quarterly provide early signals. Major policy changes affecting foreign investment or visa programs affecting Miami's demographic inflow could also move the needle. Traders monitor all these inputs to adjust their positions.