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What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?
polymarket

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

Volume:
$10,399

$339k - $342k

 - Polymarket

$339k - $342k - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$339k - $342k

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,142
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$348k - $351k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$345k - $348k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>$354k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$342k - $345k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<$339k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$351k - $354k

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Chicago median home value event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the leading outcome—Will the median home value in Chicago be between $339,000 and $342,000 on June 30?—along with historical price movements and liquidity metrics. Users can monitor how market sentiment evolves as new economic data, housing reports, and local market conditions emerge. The dashboard updates continuously to reflect trader positioning and conviction levels throughout the prediction window.

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026. At that time, the actual median home value for Chicago properties is determined and compared against the outcome criteria. The resolution process establishes which outcome bracket the final median value falls into and settles all positions accordingly. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact data source and methodology used to calculate Chicago's median home value at resolution are specified in the market terms.

Several catalysts could shift odds for Chicago's median home value by June 30, 2026. Federal Reserve interest-rate decisions directly impact mortgage affordability and buyer demand. Major employment announcements or economic recessions in the Chicago region could accelerate or reverse appreciation. Local policy changes—such as zoning reforms or property tax adjustments—influence housing supply and investor sentiment. National housing inventory reports, inflation data, and credit market stress also ripple through local markets. Seasonal patterns in spring and early summer buying activity may create volatility as the resolution date approaches.