TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun?
kalshi

What will the hosts say during Love Island Aftersun?

Volume:
$236,798

Red Flag

 - Kalshi

Red Flag - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 1:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Red Flag

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,594
N/A
N/A
$11,764
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Exclusive

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,539
N/A
N/A
$6,277
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Twitter / Social Media

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,126
N/A
N/A
$5,013
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Peacock

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,470
N/A
N/A
$3,395
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bombshell

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,721
N/A
N/A
$4,880
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kiss / Kissed

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,461
N/A
N/A
$3,290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Drama

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,491
N/A
N/A
$27,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Triangle

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,954
N/A
N/A
$20,369
Settled
No
kalshi

Fan Favorite

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,204
N/A
N/A
$25,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Vote / Voter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,744
N/A
N/A
$16,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Awkward

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,463
N/A
N/A
$17,096
Settled
No
kalshi

Jealous / Jealousy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,163
N/A
N/A
$18,268
Settled
No
kalshi

Ick

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,562
N/A
N/A
$9,440
Settled
No
kalshi

Casa Amor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,307
N/A
N/A
$11,433
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks whether either Ciara Miller or Tefi Pessoa, cast members from Love Island USA Season 8, will use any of a predefined set of common Love Island-related vocabulary words or phrases during their appearance on the show's Aftersun special episode. The market resolves positively if either participant speaks any of the specified terms, which encompass typical reality TV dating show terminology, drama indicators, and franchise-specific references.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by monitoring the live broadcast or stream of Love Island USA Season 8 Aftersun for the exact phrase or word, including plural or possessive forms, spoken by either host Ciara Miller or Tefi Pessoa. Grammatical and tense inflections are not required to match exactly. Video evidence is the primary resolution source; official transcripts serve as backup if video consensus cannot be reached. Only content from the original live broadcast counts, including promotional material but excluding advertisements and previously aired recaps or future episode previews. If the event is postponed and rescheduled within 14 calendar days with announcement by the following day, markets remain open.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 21, 2026, after Love Island Aftersun airs. Resolution depends on whether the hosts' actual statements match the specific outcome language defined in the market. Traders must wait for the episode to air and be reviewed against the exact phrasing or topic covered by each outcome option. The resolution process captures what was genuinely said on air, ensuring outcomes are determined by verifiable host dialogue rather than speculation or interpretation.

Social media leaks or preview clips from Aftersun could shift odds significantly if they hint at which topics hosts will address. Contestant drama or shocking eliminations in preceding episodes may signal which storylines hosts will emphasize. Fan theories and betting activity on related Love Island markets can influence trader sentiment. Host commentary patterns from earlier Aftersun episodes provide clues about their typical talking points. Major off-screen news involving cast members could prompt hosts to address unexpected topics, causing rapid repricing of outcomes tied to specific statements or themes.