TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 11:13 AM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on specific phrases that the winner of the Clacton by-election might use during their official acceptance speech at the count venue. Resolution depends on whether these exact phrases appear in the live broadcast or official transcripts of the speech.
All markets share a common framework for resolution based on the Clacton by-election winner's official acceptance speech. The speech must occur after the returning officer declares the result and before the candidate leaves the podium at the count venue. Live broadcasts or streams are the primary source for resolution, with official transcripts used as a backup if needed. Only phrases spoken during this official segment count—pre-declaration remarks, post-speech interviews, press conferences, rallies, or unofficial comments do not qualify. Markets resolve to Yes if the specified phrase (or its plural/possessive form) is uttered; otherwise, they resolve to No. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond qualifications, or the winner fails to speak officially, all markets except 'Event does not qualify' resolve to No. Postponements announced within one calendar day for rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.