TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
During the Wisconsin Democratic primary debate for governor, candidates will address various policy issues and topics relevant to voters. The debate serves as a key platform for candidates to present their positions, respond to questions from moderators and audiences, and differentiate themselves on critical state and national concerns.
All markets resolve based on whether any participating candidate utters the exact specified phrase or its plural/possessive form during the official, live-broadcasted Wisconsin Democratic primary debate for governor. Verification uses debate video footage primarily, with official transcripts as a secondary source if needed. Markets automatically resolve 'Yes' if a candidate says the target phrase in an official capacity; otherwise, they resolve 'No'. If the debate is canceled, postponed beyond rescheduling limits, or otherwise fails to meet qualification criteria (e.g., lack of official live broadcast), all markets resolve 'No' except the 'Event does not qualify' market, which resolves 'Yes'. Postponements announced within one calendar day with rescheduling within 14 days keep markets open.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most likely candidate to be mentioned most often based on market consensus. The probability percentages shown are derived from the volume and price action of all participants, capturing collective insight as the debate date approaches. This pricing mechanism allows rapid adjustments in response to new information or changing expectations among traders.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the debate transcript and verified media reports are analyzed. The resolution will depend on matching trader predictions against the actual content of candidate statements during the Wisconsin Democratic debate for governor.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 12, 2026. Key catalysts include pre-debate polls showing changes in candidate momentum, major news stories about the candidates, surprise endorsements, and analyst commentary leading up to the event. Additionally, any last-minute changes to debate rules or formats might influence trader sentiment. As the debate approaches, real-time reactions to candidate performance in warm-up events or media interviews often cause rapid price movements in this market.