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What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate?
kalshi

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate?

Volume:
$54,025

Common Sense

 - Kalshi

Common Sense - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 4, 2026

Closed: Aug 3, 9:01 PM EST

kalshi

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View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Common Sense

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,575
N/A
N/A
$3,675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Trump (5+ times)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,487
N/A
N/A
$3,675
Settled
Yes
kalshi

America First

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,238
N/A
N/A
$2,982
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,020
N/A
N/A
$2,458
Settled
Yes
kalshi

THC / Weed / Marijuana

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,019
N/A
N/A
$2,436
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,808
N/A
N/A
$2,241
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Data Center

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,650
N/A
N/A
$2,248
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Biden

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,607
N/A
N/A
$1,792
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fraud

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,316
N/A
N/A
$2,218
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Second Amendment

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,307
N/A
N/A
$1,715
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,291
N/A
N/A
$1,846
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Healthcare

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,232
N/A
N/A
$1,753
Settled
Yes
kalshi

China / Chinese

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,852
N/A
N/A
$1,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MAGA / Make America Great Again

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,035
N/A
N/A
$3,668
Settled
No
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,353
N/A
N/A
$3,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Transgender

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,564
N/A
N/A
$2,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Woke / DEI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,347
N/A
N/A
$2,013
Settled
No
kalshi

Abortion

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,800
N/A
N/A
$1,603
Settled
No
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,617
N/A
N/A
$1,388
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$908
N/A
N/A
$872
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Description

During a primary debate for a special election, candidates will address various policy issues and current events. The focus is on whether specific phrases or topics are mentioned by any participant during the officially broadcasted debate.

Kalshi

The event will resolve based on whether any participating candidate mentions specified phrases during the South Carolina Republican U.S. Senate Special Election Primary Debate, provided the debate is officially broadcasted live and candidates speak in an official capacity. Video and official transcripts serve as primary evidence. If the debate is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet qualification criteria, the "Event does not qualify" market resolves to Yes, and all others to No. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the SC Senate debate statements market, along with 24-hour volume of $49,136. It shows how traders on Kalshi are positioning around potential statements from candidates during the upcoming debate, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and betting activity as the event approaches.

While analyst forecasts may draw from polls and historical trends, this market reflects the real-time betting sentiment of traders who react instantly to news, polling shifts, and campaign dynamics. Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst predictions, especially when unexpected events or strong debate performances occur, making this market a complementary — sometimes contrarian — indicator of expected outcomes.

This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. After the debate transcript and media coverage are finalized, the market settles based on whether specific candidate statements match the defined criteria, closing the market on the exact wording and context recorded by independent sources.

Key signals include released debate transcripts, candidate preparation leaks, major endorsements, and polling updates. Events like gaffes or policy announcements leading up to Aug 18, 2026 can shift trader sentiment quickly. Media coverage of candidate momentum and any rule changes to the debate format may also cause rapid price swings as the market approaches its resolution date.