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What will the candidates say during the Michigan Democratic Senate debate?
kalshi

What will the candidates say during the Michigan Democratic Senate debate?

Volume:
$219,005

Climate

 - Kalshi

Climate - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 28, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 9:15 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Climate

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,030
N/A
N/A
$22,691
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Socialist / Socialism

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,780
N/A
N/A
$8,842
Settled
Yes
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Trump (8+ times)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,615
N/A
N/A
$7,163
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Obama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,163
N/A
N/A
$7,842
Settled
Yes
kalshi

AIPAC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,571
N/A
N/A
$7,401
Settled
Yes
kalshi

ICE

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,839
N/A
N/A
$5,589
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Data Center

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,343
N/A
N/A
$5,557
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,426
N/A
N/A
$4,563
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corrupt / Corruption

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,140
N/A
N/A
$4,510
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Israel / Israeli

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,518
N/A
N/A
$2,572
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,986
N/A
N/A
$2,830
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Billionaire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,963
N/A
N/A
$2,802
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Iran

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,911
N/A
N/A
$26,238
Settled
No
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,785
N/A
N/A
$23,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Fraud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,286
N/A
N/A
$22,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Zohran / Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,716
N/A
N/A
$19,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Ballroom

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,768
N/A
N/A
$7,720
Settled
No
kalshi

Event does not qualify

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,166
N/A
N/A
$2,159
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

The event tracks specific phrases mentioned by candidates during a Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate debate scheduled for July 27th, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether a participating candidate utters a predefined keyword or phrase during the live, officially broadcasted debate. The resolution relies on video footage or official transcripts to verify usage.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple markets, each tied to a specific phrase or keyword. A market resolves to Yes if any participating candidate utters the exact phrase—or its plural/possessive form—during the live, officially broadcasted Michigan Democratic U.S. Senate debate scheduled for July 27th, 2026. Resolution relies primarily on video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts are used. The debate must be open to press coverage and feature candidates speaking in an official capacity—not merely present but silent. If the event is canceled, postponed beyond 14 days, or otherwise fails to meet qualification criteria (e.g., no official statements), all markets resolve to No, with the 'Event does not qualify' market resolving to Yes. Postponements announced within one day and rescheduled within 14 days keep markets open.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Michigan Senate debate statements market, along with 24-hour volume of $217,194. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of various candidate statements during the upcoming debate, offering a dynamic view of market sentiment and trading activity as the event approaches.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this event often reflect a more nuanced or contrarian view. While analysts may focus on polling trends and historical context, traders in this market incorporate real-time sentiment, media coverage, and micro-events leading up to the debate. This can result in tighter or wider spreads, depending on how market participants interpret upcoming catalysts.

This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the debate transcripts and credible news reports are publicly available. The resolution team will compare actual statements against the market's defined outcomes, ensuring alignment with verifiable facts from authoritative sources covering the event.

Key signals include major poll releases, candidate gaffes or policy announcements, media coverage of debate preparation, and endorsements from influential figures. As Aug 11, 2026 approaches, any shift in trader sentiment around likely statements — fueled by speech previews, moderator announcements, or unexpected developments — can cause rapid price adjustments in this market.